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> In some sense this is academic, ...

Whether all of this is academic or not, I don't know. But what I do know is that these ideas and their practical implications have an ENORMOUS impact on the practitioner's and business's productivity.

> in a very real sense disdain for dependency is something I worry can prevent a project from going through an important high-energy transitory period where semi-formed dependencies exist to solve concrete tasks but have not yet annealed into a final, low-energy form.

We must always riff and hack and creatively explore our domains in code -- this is another practice of the software professional, and notions of "architectural soundness" and "dependency reduction" should never paralyze us from creative play, sculpting and exploration. In these modes of development its best we "turn off" all the rules and let ourselves fly.

But for a code base that has to survive longer than 6 months and that will have more than one collaborator -- this is where it becomes essential to maintain architectural soundness in the shared branch. (My development branches, on the other hand, are in wild violation of all sorts of "rules" -- so there is a difference between what gets promoted to production code and all the exploratory stuff we should also be doing.)

I think the idea of exploratory work is very similar to what I mention going on in small scopes, but I think this evolution occurs at large scales, too. All the development branch isolation in the world can't and shouldn't stop this sort of broad scale evolution.

I think the right approach is not to avoid dependencies, but to manage them.

Let's say you are unsure of the correct UI framework just. React, Knockout or Angular? React native? Maybe you don't yet know which database best suits your usage and scaling needs. Should you avoid committing to those dependencies? For how long? Doesn't this slow you down?

A good way to approach this is to isolate the dependencies so that you don't have to commit to the actual implementations (React, Mongo, PostgreSQL, Angular, ZeroMQ, whatever it is you need) early. Of course you start the work with some set of frameworks and libraries, but so that no other part (the parts that does all the important stuff that it unique to your application) of the system knows of the implementations. This way, if the need arises, changing the implementation details will not be expensive.

Isolating the implementation behind an abstraction sometimes introduces boilerplate and duplication, but as the article mentions, the dependency is usually more costly.

I think writing an abstraction that allows you to decouple your app in a way that you could use either Angular or React is going to take far longer than just rewriting your app if you ever get to the point of needing to switch.

In case of a UI, the trick is not so much to write an abstraction for this, but to write the application logic such a way that it does not depend on the UI framework.

Your own UI code should be limited to displaying the data with the help of the framework. This minimal UI code should depend on the application code and that should be the only dependency between the two.

There are simple techniques to keep view logic and application logic decoupled, for example by introducing a separate data structures prepared and optimized for view components to consume. An added bonus of this is testability of both application and UI logic without opening a browser.

>when making that tradeoff what parameters make a duplications better or worse than a dependency?

This depends entirely upon the context. Overduplication and tight coupling are universally bad but the trade off between them is often a matter of opinion.

In practice I've found that once you've hit the point where you're trying to trade duplication + tight coupling off against one another the code is already in a decent enough state that there's other more important work to be done.