The bare fact that certain funds or managers have averaged 20%+ over whatever time period is irrelevant, as that is absolutely expected due to randomness alone. It has no predictive power over the ability of those funds to generate future alpha, regardless of what intuition suggests. Again, in other words, investing in a fund that has consistently outperformed in the past does not increase your expectation of outperforming in the future. In fact, it is more likely than not that you will still underperform a low-cost passive fund with the same factor exposure.