Scientists can now make lithium-ion batteries last a lifetime
computerworld.com
computerworld.com
But, that misses the point. A battery that lasts dramatically longer means you can deploy batteries in ways and places that couldn't be deployed before, and you can use them in ways we don't currently think "I know, I'll use a battery!" Power for the grid is one of those areas. We don't store generated power right now, because it is too expensive. Partly it is too expensive because batteries are inefficient and horribly short lived. A battery that lasts 25 years could be matched with solar panels that last 25 years (or more) to provide a very effective replacement for grid power. This is just my own take on what a much longer lived battery might be used for. I'm certain there are tons of implementations that aren't obvious to me.
Even if a battery with a 20 year life cycle never makes it into a phone, it would still be revolutionary.
In my opinion, hybrid Si/C anodes show the most promise as a material that would realistically be found in Li-ion batteries in the next decade. Nanowires/nanospheres do not seem as promising to me, unless we can find a way to cheaply produce them.
Most consumers probably want a thinner device however...
I'd rather see extended capacity.
From the article:
"All nanowire capacitors can be extended from 2000 to 8000 cycles to more than 100,000 cycles, simply by replacing a liquid electrolyte with a... gel electrolyte," the researchers wrote in their paper.
The result: commercial batteries that could last a lifetime in computers, smartphones, appliances, cars and spacecraft.
If they were actually working on this only for batteries, then presumably capacitors are simply a test methodology that allows them to test hundreds of thousands of cycles within a reasonable time period.
No, your issue isn't with Li-ion, your issue is with physics. As long as power draw stays within an order of magnitude of current mobile devices (note: backlights and radios put a hard lower-bound on this, and devices are already approaching it asymptotically) your dream is not possible without some different technology altogether.
One of those different technologies might be remote wireless charging.
[0]: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c9/Secondar...
Apple will replace an iPhone battery for $79; Independent repairers charge about half that. You can do it yourself with a screwdriver and a suction cup.
One of the biggest problems with electric vehicles right now is resale value. If the battery did not degrade, resale value would be much much higher.
If resale prices were higher, people would be more willing to lease and buy new electric vehicles, and then those vehicles would be available on the used car market, and available for hacker types to do interesting things with them [1]
1. http://cafeelectric.com/stretchla/ ; http://www.autoblog.com/2016/04/19/classic-firebird-restomod...
For example a few days ago we discussed the BMW i3. Electric means simple? No. Someone in that discussion posted a link to a 40 min video of the i3 production line. I had no idea of how much effort was involved. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11532982
Yes, electric cars are inherently simpler than internal combustion vehicles. But they're still quite sophisticated, with quite a lot that can break or become obsolete.
There's a whole like more than the battery that needs a "technical revolution". People have been embracing recent developments such as automatic crash braking and Apple CarPlay. It would be difficult to retrofit all the sensors needed for automatic braking and lane change warnings.
Or crush them all and get new ones I guess...
For example, that's certainly the case with Microsoft Surface Pro [1,2,3,etc.] computers as MS made it clear that the design life of the battery was about 3 years (and isn't user replaceable). That's absurd for a device with an initial cost of >$1500.
If the battery lasted 20 times as long, I'm sure many such devices would be kept in service for much longer than 3 years, for many users there's no need to "upgrade" after so short an interval.
That the "design life of the battery is about 3 years" and it isn't "user replaceable" doesn't mean the device become obsolete -- just that you need to go to a shop to have the battery replaced.
Apple or third parties can reuse them a lot of times provided that they share a form factor and there are no significant advances to capacity that would require throwing the old ones away...
With all this talk about plastic bags in the other thread, I'm surprised people think no one wants an infinite battery in a device that will be obsolete in 5 years...
If you have a removable battery, you need the walls of the battery to be thicker to prevent puncturing it. You have to have extra thickness for the battery cover and for the wall that goes against the battery. You need a contact interface for the battery instead of a flat flex cable.
There's no way to make an iPhone as thin as it is with a removable battery. You can argue that no one needs a phone that thin, but regardless, I don't think it has anything to do with planned obsolescence.
- Easier/cheaper manufacturing process.
- Increased structural stability.
- Make the device smaller/thinner/lighter.
- Apple is concerned that end users will screw something up, so they want their service staff to handle battery replacement.
I'm sure the internal discussions that led non-user-replaceable batteries was more nuanced than "let's milk those suckers for all they're worth".
I can't imagine that an iPhone with a battery door would cost more than pennies more to manufacture. iPhones are fragile, and have always been; if they can charge you $79 for a new battery, they can charge you $79 to fix the battery door. Smaller/lighter/thinner? You're talking a razor-thin space savings that adds up to a major inconvenience for users. Users have been operating battery doors for a very long time without electrocuting themselves or losing fingers. They're about as dangerous as an SD slot.
> I'm sure the internal discussions that led non-user-replaceable batteries was more nuanced than "let's milk those suckers for all they're worth".
I'm sure Snidely Whiplash doesn't work there. That a decision both so profitable and user-hostile was made is neither an incidental part of a general striving for perfection, nor undiscussed.
It's really challenging to cram that much stuff into a constrained enclosure, and all of the layers add up. As I understand, a removable battery takes up a lot of area, because you need clearance below it and space for the mechanical fasteners. It also breaks up the pristine surfaces that are a big part of Apple's design language. The individual industrial design, product design, electrical, and RF design/antenna engineers responsible for each part aren't thinking about sales in two years. They want to make their piece as good as they can and hit the schedule.
For example, lets look at the Tesla Powerwall numbers. The Powerwall warranty covers 85% of capacity with 740 cycles in the first two years -- whichever comes first. Then it covers 66% capacity with 1,087 cycles in three years, and finally, it covers 54% of capacity for 2,368 cycles in five years. http://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/is-teslas-powerw...
Running the numbers for the Powerwall, 85%, 66%, and 54% of 7kWh is 5.4, 4.6, and 3.8kWh respectively.
(740cycles x 5.4kWh) + (1087cycles x 4.6kWh) + (2368cycles x 3.8kWh) = 17994.6kWh
Thus the cost per kWh stored is
$3000/17994.6kWh = 16.7 cents/kWh.
Not included is the shipping and installation cost, which could add another $300 - $500, which would run
$3300/17994.6kWh = 18.3 cent/kWh.
That doesn't mean you can't go outside those ranges in special cases, just that it's best for the battery to spend as much time as possible within that range. For a Powerwall, I'd take that to mean that charging it to 100% every day with solar then draining it to 10% every night recharging an electric car is going to reduce its lifespan pretty fast, but charging it to 80% daily and using it to reduce your grid draw without fully discharging may let the unit last for years with minimal decline in capacity.
It's like a lot of things - if you're constantly bouncing against hardware limitations, there's a good chance you're putting more stress on the hardware and are going to see shorter lifespans for it. It may not be readily visible, but effectively batteries are a moving part subject to wear so treat them as such and plan for it.
[1] http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/how_to_prolong_li...
For example, your link says that 100% depth of discharge lasts 300-500 cycles, 50% lasts 1,200-1,500 cyles, 25% lasts 2,000-2,500 cycles, and 10% lasts 3,750-4,700 cycles.
You might think wow, 3,750-4,700! That's way more cycles than the 300-500 of a 100% discharge cycle! This is true, but usually the important comparison is total kWh stored, not total cycles. Each cycle of a 100% loop is 10x more valuable than a discharge of a 10% loop. So the proper comparison is not 3,750-4,750 vs 300-500, it's 3,750 vs 3,000-5,000. So the shallow discharge cycle comes out on top, but not by a huge margin.
Compounding this is the fact that lithium ion batteries are always losing capacity while being stored at room temperature. So this is another advantage of deeper cycling of batteries. You get more value out before they age.
Anyway, you likely knew this, but I thought I would share in case it was educational for others.
(50,000 x 5.4kWh) = 270,000kWh
$3300 / 270,000kWh = 1.2¢/kWh, more than a factor of 10!
According to "System Information", I've done a mere 359 cycles - and according to their website, "Your battery is designed to retain up to 80% of its original capacity at 1000 complete charge cycles." [0]
Of course their warranty on defective batteries conveniently runs out after just one year. I've been meticulous about only charging it with genuine ($80+) chargers, including at home, at work, one in the car, and one in the carry-on. Someone should tell them about this new tech.
http://www.ev-power.eu/LTO-Tech/ http://www.ev-power.eu/LTO-technology/
(I have no personal experiences with the technology)
UCI Researchers Accidentally Make Batteries Last 400 Times Longer
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11547756
http://www.popsci.com/researchers-accidentally-make-batterie...
I am highly skeptical that you can find any articles from reputable publications claiming cancer or HIV have been cured, let alone 100.
They don't care about the content just the ad revenue. If reporting about dog food brought revenue they would be reporting about dog food.