Torn Between Two YouTubes
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
> Song downloads and streaming music account for 70 percent of U.S. music sales. But the industry's total revenue has dropped by 66 percent since 1999.
The profusion of bullshit "statistics" being used the advance a prejudiced position is so grating. I know why the music publishers are doing it, but the journalists don't have to just repeat it. There are actual interesting numbers that could be calculated.
Of course music revenue is down after moving to a massively more efficient platform. Profit is the relevant metric.
50% "listen on youtube", and generate "4% of revenue" ... I don't even know how this could be changed into a meaningful statistic. I guess you could compare TV+radio listener numbers and revenue share 1996 versus 2016 ... for it to really make any sense you'd have to compare listeners and revenue through all mediums. If there is a change of composition away from high-revenue mediums to lower revenue mediums, that would be more relevant.
And why use the year 2000 as the baseline, when recorded music has a 100-year history.
The question is: how often?
Also, people should bring up just how hard and expensive it was (or is) to acquire licenses for things like wedding videos. Distributing your wedding video is a cppyright violation if an unlicensed song happens to be playing. Music industry, if you could get to them, would license you the rights for sometimes $10,000 or something. Absolutely ridiculous. A modern service exists that makes it easier but still doesn't for all songs & still can be expensive. This kind of crap is why they have so much opposition even from those who otherwise would want to pay them.
When selling a product, what would you prefer? 100 sales at $10 or 20 sales at $20? What the record labels see is that less people buy it less at the higher price, so it must be piracy!
He uses the word piracy which doesn't apply here, but I think what he says is relevant in this context: a lot of people hear music for free, like it, and then buy it. Maybe they hear it for free on the radio, through torrenting, or through youtube. Although the radio and torrenting does generate revenue as well as promotion whereas torrenting only does promotion.
I don't think it's reasonable to say "oh, if you want to make money with music, you should just spend 6 months of the year living in a van traveling the country".
Even an author, typically far more introverted than a musician, has to seriously consider hitting the road to do book signings and interviews for any hope of success.
Sell a soundboard recording of the show I went to for $25 on the spot as I leave. I went to the show so I now have an emotional connection to that particular performance. Will this get shared? Sure, but the majority of people downloading bootlegs own the artists' oeuvre anyway.
YouTube is comparable to radio. A place people discover and listen to music, which they later buy as downloads, CDs, vinyl, etc.
Much YouTube music views are of official videos that the artists and labels themselves upload.
If anything, the record industry should be paying YouTube more for exposure and marketing. It's time for the record companies to stop freeloading off YouTube and pay their fair share for their use of this important music marketing channel.
People these days have many more means of entertainment. I think it is hard to get super popular by just doing music alone. Pairing with movie, games, or other multi-media seem to be a better strategy.
The record companies are not mere "middle-men" between artist and fans. They actually fund the costly process of creating and marketing music.
For better or worse, we have an economic system grounded in the concept of intellectual property.
Only with the music business are the producers of a good, who undertake the production of that good at a ridiculously high risk, branded as "greedy" if they attempt to sustain a viable business from their efforts.
As far as I'm concerned, Apple, Google, Spotify, Pandora, Amazon and the like are parasitic "middle-men" who bring a commodity level service to the industry.
Through quirks of the market structure, they have been able to extract the bulk of the value from one of our sublime cultural goods, and leave the actual producers scrambling for crumbs.
If Google thinks it's no big deal, why don't they just undertake the production of the content that they monetize? They won't, because it's a crap business, and only exists because the people who create music are at least in part driven by non-pecuniary rewards.
That's the way it goes, but spare us this attempt to paint this as a morality tale.
http://www.negativland.com/news/?page_id=17
TL;DR: If a record grosses $3 million, making $710,000 in profit, the band makes $12,000 (1.6%), in this case split between three people at that. Including "salary", since this is their sole payment for working their ass off for a full year.
http://www.salon.com/2000/06/14/love_7/
The argument is wrong.
I'm generalizing, but more or less here is the issue with record companies. Only a small number of albums released come close to making a profit. The vast majority of albums generate very little revenue, and don't even come close to covering the costs of producing the record.
So the business model of the record company is to fund a bunch of albums in the hope that one of them becomes a hit, and generates enough revenue to cover the production and marketing costs of all the others too. Whatever is left after that is the profit.
The contracts are structured to reflect this reality. i.e. very low royalty rates, like maybe 10% of the gross sale price per album. From this small royalty, it doesn't even kick in until the entire costs of the production and marketing have been "recouped" from this royalty!
The artist has an "account" at the label to keep track of how much they have recouped to date. Usually the costs hold over from project to project as well, so the artist can get deeper and deeper in the hole if they release a series of poor selling records. An artist can wind up a situation where they have a massive hit, but receive no royalties on sales as they haven't recouped earlier releases
As an example, let's look at a hypothetical album release. (This model doesn't apply as much anymore as the role of the album is much smaller in music sales, but the principle is the same).
let's say the cost of production and marketing the album is one million dollars, and the artist royalty rate is 50 cents per unit on a wholesale price of $5 per unit.
That means the artist won't see a penny of royalties on record sales until they sell two million units. After that they get their 50 cents per unit. The record label "advances" the funds to make the record to the artist.
While it does look like at first glance like such an agreement is horribly unfair, and can only be explained as exploitive, this is really the only viable business model possible if you want to have a business producing and releasing music.
Why would an artists sign such a contract, with so little hope of making money. The main reason is that if the record fails to recoup, once the contract is over they are not personally responsible for the debt. The record company pools the projects under a business umbrella, which allows the individual artists to pool the risk.
Here's another way to look at it. If you are an artist under a recording contract, you are guaranteed access to the capital you need to make an actual business of being a professional artist under a much less risky structure.
Only a few number of serious musical artist who might be able to fund the project through sources where profit is only possible if the project is commercially successful. If you had to, say take out a personal loan for $500,000 to make and market a record, given that the odds of success are incredibly low, that would be pretty much insanely risky.
The reality is that most musical artist never come close to creating a viable, marketable product, as the talent and capital required are too scarce. Even the few that manage to make a really good product independently do not have access to the capital and organizational resources to market it properly.
Another factor at play, is that there are other ways of making money as an artists outside of record royalties. Having a "record deal" gives you much greater access to those opportunities. For example, there what's called writer's royalties which are connected to the copyright on the composition, not the recording. These are not subject to the same agreement, and are paid on every sales. There are also opportunities for performances, personal appearances, endorsements, merchandise sales, sales of back catalog, etc...
At a minimum, while you are under contract, if your advance is large enough, you can also at least cover living expenses.
From the point of view of a record company, here is how the vast majority of their deals look: They put up a significant chunk of cash, and they take a virtual total loss on their investment.
There are cases where artists can successfully sell records independently. Often, this will be an artist who has had significant commercial success in the past, and who has access to other sources of capital (personal or otherwise). In such a case, if everything goes well, they can make a profit at a much lower number of sales, as their business will get the entire wholesale price of the product as revenue.
Specifically, my question is whether the world be better off if even relatively unknown musicians get access to high end equipment through open distribution and marketing afforded by the Internet. Music revenue would be split based on talent and not based on who is popular.
For example, someone puts out a new piece of music on the Internet. A set of music enthusiasts likes it and awareness spreads. The artist now signs up with a studio to produce a high quality version and sells it for money on Spotify.
I'm a music producer, of sorts, but I don't work in the music business per se, so my knowledge of actual costs is limited. I do occasionally work with people who are active in the industry, and so I try to at least keep up with what's going on.
(I usually work either for companies, or on low budget independent projects that don't make money, but are more products of love and passion:)
It's a little hard to get your mind around. The music industry proper is not that big, and what really goes on is not discussed in general forums very often. It's a bizarre little business world unto itself.
One thing to keep in mind is that the music market as an economic structure is an almost entirely "fat head, long tail." The vast amount of revenue is derived from the output of small number of artists (maybe 100 at any given time). The percentages are crazy. The percentage of recordings that even generate any significant revenue, never mind profit, is on the order of .001% (I'm guessing, but it's very low). There is definitely revenue that comes in from the long tail part of the market, but it's relatively small.
This "winner take all structure", which is inherent to a mass media form of entertainment, tends towards record labels being conservative about who they sign, and who they take a chance on promoting. If they do decide to seriously promote an artist, and support the whole business infrastructure needed to create a modern, mass media entertainment "product," they will bet big, and not hedge on production costs.
It's hard to understand in part because the way commercial music is actually produced has changed forms many times over the last 100 years, and the current model is relatively new, and not widely known by the public at all.
Currently the production model for commercial music is that a small team will be put together (or maintained) who work under a name "producer." (Dr. Luke being at the absolute top). These are they craftsmen/women who actually produce the music.
There will be writers, musicians, engineers, sub-producers, and associated creative and business types, who will all work together with the producer, artist, and label to create the actual song product you might hear on the radio.
There are often multiple team members working in parallel, in multiple studios, on the same project, with the best material generated being chosen for continued work. (Sort of the way a bigger technology company would have multiple teams on R&D).
Musical material from outside producers and writers is also be brought in under the production umbrella. For example, sometimes an artist and producer get some traction organically, like you describe. The producer can be brought on board a team to continue the work.
There are lots of independent entities who are producing musical "product" that are used as kind of a farm system for the major labels and producers. A lot of modern music is created from a "beat" which is really just the basic music of the song. There are actually various markets at work for "beats." that are always busy. There are a small number of independent "songwriters" who have a major contribution to the process.
Out of this process, which doesn't necessarily take a long time, weeks, maybe months, a marketable "record" (a single song) is hopefully produced.
I would estimate the costs of this production phase at $70-90 thousand.
From there, a label might be looking at roughly $1 million in marketing costs, videos, and the like. Radio promotion alone can cost hundreds of thousands (getting the song on the radio). Similar funds will be used to get the song visible wherever they can, Spotify, Youtube, anywhere funds can be used to increase exposure.
Even after all this, most songs don't catch on and make significant money. But the hope is that all of this promotion gets it heard by enough people that actually like the song enough to buy it, stream it, tell friends about it, play it at parties, companies license it for commercials, etc...
This is nuts, but it is what is happening on the commercial end of the music spectrum.
The irony of the internet is that it is trivially easy to place a song on the internet at no cost. Anyone in world has access to your music! This was simply impossible in the old days. Also, the costs of the gear needed to produce music have dropped dramatically.
It is possible to produce hit records mostly using a laptop. It however remains a labor and talent intensive process. It is pretty rare that I come across music created by relative unknowns that would be viable commercially.
Which is not to say there isn't some great music out there from independent artists. Spotify does have some aspects which give exposure to artist further out on the long tail. For example, it's recommendation system is amazing, and works differently than those typically found in aggregating services like iTunes, Pandora, or Amazon.
Those services tend to reinforce the "fat head" part of the market. Pandora, in my experience, will usually draw from the most well known tracks by a given artist to generate a playlist.
Spotify on the other hand, especially its "Discover Weekly" feature, presents to me 30 tracks every week that are incredibly close to my tastes, yet I have usually not heard the particular song. I usually have not even heard of the artist! I have found some amazing music like this. Currently, I'm on a big listening tangent of Swedish Prog, which is mind blowing. (If you like adventurous rock music check out Anekdoten:)
I've read that the algorithms they use to generate personal recommendations integrate your personal taste based, on tracks you play, and put in to playlists, with similar info from other users. This is information that is truly based on what actual other human beings like to listen to, and so far it seems relatively free of the influence of label marketing money (at least if one's taste lean away from popular music).
Anyhow, the costs of marketing a song as part of a for profit project are probably higher than ever, as the competition for attention in the digital world is fierce.
An irony, to me personally, is that I think the quality of music that is popular these days, in some subjective sense, is poor, despite more resources being put towards the production than ever. It all reflects a high degree of production values and craft however.
This is related to fact that the technological and business structures under which modern pop music have fundamentally changed how pop music sounds in ways that are shocking to me. (As someone who has been creating music in various capacities for over 30 years, yikes!).
Almost every single song in the top 100 charts is produced through a "cut and paste" style of production, in a computer, using "virtual" instruments. It has only loose relationship to how music has been produced historically, which is based on the muscular efforts of actual people, moving molecules, which generate sound.
Something akin to the change to CGI effects in movies.
The effect on the music I find to be disturbing, as it leaves even "classic" genres of modern music, like Rock, strangely static, and lacking in feel. An "uncanny valley" effect.
BTW, I make do record my own guitar based rock music, heard by virtually no one. If you want to take a listen, you'll find it here. I think it's pretty good:)
It wouldn't have changed a damn thing. People would still be sharing music for free today, like they did as soon as the medium allowed it (tapes).
The problem is there is only so much profit to be had. The recording industry is not interested in trying to sell their own product digitally at a price consumers want. So instead, either a company is large enough and entrenched enough (like Google with Youtube) that that company is able to capture the profit, and the music industry complains, or the company is small enough that the music industry captures the profit, and the company goes under or operates at a loss (too many to name, but Spotify and Pandora both fall under this).
There may not be a good split, that sees both the recording company and the distributor seeing a profit, at the prices consumers are willing to pay, which if the case explains why they've fought tooth and nail against every form of digital distribution. But I don't see how the recording companies can stay afloat without it. It may be we'll have to see how music works without them.
Not a valid extrapolation. The Internet is billions of times faster and more densely connected than the sneakernet.
> Sure. But music sharing didn't kill the industry then; there's little reason to believe it'll be the reason for its death now.
To me that translated to: "Sharing some songs between a handful of friends once every few days didn't harm the music industry; hence being able to share hundreds of songs with millions of people in a few seconds will harm it now."
The second statement sure looks like an extrapolation from the first, and given the mind-boggling difference in scale, an invalid one.
As for lack of data, music industry revenues have been decimated since the turn of the industry. Sure, there are several factors involved, but can you really pretend the terabytes of copyrighted music being torrented every month has nothing to do with it?
If a radio play goes out to 50,000 listeners, the total paid is less per listener than YouTube.
Trent Reznor probably cares more about the thousands of dollars (VIP tickets via his fan club site) I've paid to see him live over the last decade or so than the ~$150 I've spent on his albums (with the label taking most of that).
Trent Reznor made millions before the collapse of the music industry in the 2000s THANKS to big labels. It's easy for him not to care about your money, at all. He'd be nothing if no major label invested in him in the 90's .
The big labels didn't start anything, they just bought it up.