Some things to take into account though:
- Friendly games are sometimes about fitness rather than winning at all costs
- Weather greatly effects results. For example, in heavy rain and high wind, the likelihood of the game yielding more than 2.5 goals reduces massively.
- How does the algorithm take into account substitutions?
- If a team in the group has already won 2 games, they may have already won. In that case they may rest many players or try new tactics
- Not all leagues (and levels of those leagues) are taken into account
Very much looking forward to seeing where this goes!