Microsoft to acquire LinkedIn for $26B
news.microsoft.com
news.microsoft.com
Microsoft is a traditional B2B company; they make boring enterprise software and sell it through traditional resellers. As more and more core business functions (like HR managed services) start being sold through these channels, it makes more and more sense for Microsoft to get into it. More importantly, Microsoft already has a sales relationship with nearly every company in the world -- and they can now cram a high-margin talent acquisition / management product down that sales pipe as well.
IMO this is one of those acquisitions that wouldn't have made sense for Apple, Google or Facebook -- their customer base is too consumer-centric. But given Microsoft's heavy enterprise sales base, it absolutely makes sense for them. Nadella has finally gotten Microsoft to realize it's not really competing with Apple, Amazon, Google and Facebook -- its real competition is Oracle, Salesforce and IBM. Viewed through that lens, this is a great purchase.
To me this is all about white collar productivity tools and integrations. LNKD is the keystone that manages a users journey as users ebb and flow through using (and not using) MSFT tools and products (Word, Excel, Sharepoint, Outlook, et. al.). The journey here is starting a job, starting projects, managing and coordinating projects, completing projects, and looking for new jobs. MSFT has tools in all aspects of the lifecycle except for the time between jobs.
Therefore MSFT offering gets stronger because they can keep that relationship with you even if you leave your employer and LNKD relationship gets stronger because they gain the relationship when you're still content at your current employer. The possibilities here are really interesting from a MSFT perspective.
Here's MSFT's deck on the summary [1].
[1] https://ncmedia.azureedge.net/ncmedia/2016/06/msft_announce_...
I think Salesforce or IBM would be the other potential buyers, but perhaps LinkedIn would be too big for them to swallow.
Sorry to nitpick, but why isn't SAP ever mentioned in this same list? Believe it or not, but SAP does more than double that of SFDC for business software.
You cant really say it's a great purchase without mentioning the price, which you didn't. I haven't done any deep analysis but my gut feeling says that 26.2B for stopping Linkedin spam is not worth it.
More thoughts on that here: https://medium.com/@ux/will-linkedin-and-microsofts-new-play...
This acquisition will transform Microsoft into a major bay area Employeer, with >10k people working in the region.
Given that they bought Nokia, only to shut it down, more or less, it would be reasonable for the shareholders to get a plan, detailing how LinkedIn will boost Microsofts business, with more that the $26 billion.
price tag + whether it really makes sense for MS. Everybody remembers the Nokia fiasco.
And MS have a terrible track record for acquisitions.
[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1271024/000110465916...
[2] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1271024/000110465916...
The idea of going to physical career fairs in thousands of colleges around the country, and collecting/handing out paper resumes just to make the connections happen, always seemed like a woefully inefficient way of connecting job seekers with employers. In the future, this process is going to become more and more digital, and networks like LinkedIn are going to become vital hubs in this new wave. If Microsoft can find a way to accelerate and monetize this trend, this acquisition could well be one of the best deals of the decade.
Best of luck to Microsoft with its latest acquisition. It doesn't look that sensible though.
But if the market dips, things like LinkedIn's recommendations will become useful and relevant. Less so for technology workers than for those with softer skills, but far more relevant than they are today.
LinkedIn is pretty big in the NYC startup scene because overall people are more ambitious in a career ambition way... Silicon Valley has more ambition to build cool things and so having a LinkedIn profile feels like wearing a suit and having one's teeth professionally whitened and going around formally shaking hands with people.
LinkedIn is also one of the few innovators in dark pattern UI research. Each week I get an invitation email accidentally sent by someone over 60 who signed up for LinkedIn and spammed his/her entire Gmail address book with invites.
I hope the acquisition isn't being driven by LinkedIn's lead-gen functionality, since that has been the main reason I've considered deleting my profile. Most of the people who attempt to connect are selling something, which reduces the platform's usefulness as a social network.
The best thing about the acquisition is that lots of that money will flow back into the startup ecosystem.
Edit: Also a cautionary tale for anyone shorting a stock that fundamentally sucks but could be a buyout target. Use options instead!
I think so.
Keep in mind, MS sells $90 billion of product and services a year, so we're talking less than 3% of that. (MS cost of revenue is about a third of revenues!)
1] First imagine LinkedIn used as the primary sales channel for MS products. Head of sales is probably salivating.
2] And then there is advertising. I think part of the reason LinkedIn is valuable is this: apart from LinkedIn there is no simple way (barring credit cards or other documents) to verify if an account who signs up to an online service is a real person, or who they claim to be. For an advertising business, this is gold: Expect the LinkedIn federated sign on to be integrated into many microsoft services (and by more third party services.)
Strategically if you are selling software/anything, you have are better off targeting the top 10% of earners rather than a gazillion broke teenagers.
Of course there are fake profiles on LinkedIn, but they are minor, and weeding them out is probably easier than on other platforms.
> Keep in mind, MS sells $90 billion of product and services a year, so we're talking less than 3% of that. (MS cost of revenue is about a third of revenues!)
30%
Anyone know why they'd negotiate an all cash settlement?
/s ?
Citation needed.
Who fits the profile?
- IBM - They are in share buyback mode, not major purchases
- Oracle - Social may not matter to them
- SAP - Too many issues from prior acquisitions
- HP - Splitting, but building
Microsoft is the ideal buyer.
The key is integration. Microsoft doesn't have a great history for integration, but that was also under the prior regime.
- Better integration of Dynamics CRM with LinkedIn - A move towards social selling with LinkedIn Sales Navigator - Enriched LinkedIn news-feed with updates from work life (example: meetings, projects) - Better Cortana (personal assistant) that can help you professionally - Integration of Office suite with LinkedIn learning - Usage of Bing for professional search
The ability to automatically import contact's data into Dynamics, with integration directly into Skype for Business. One click call integration for all your customers!
Staff directory as a service? Maybe. Merged with Office 365 that might make sense.
They never agreed with Microsoft to have their data but somehow ms automatically gets access to it?
Imagine integrating LinkedIn profiles with Microsoft's professional tools or even Windows. The reach of LinkedIn will be massive if Microsoft gives it a push through Windows.
It's likely that this boost does not necessarily convert into increasing revenue, but it can certainly boost the number of active users that LinkedIn has.
And I hope, now that it is acquired, LinkedIn will stop pushing us to spam all of our contacts about joining it, updating profiles or whatever.
Why do they even say that. Microsoft didn't pay 20billion for a passive investment.
Such a silly thing to say.
You also have to consider that so many companies use linkedin. It's an industry standard for professional networking, which has a different meaning than networking with friend ("consumer" networking I guess ?).
I am not sure what has held LinkedIn back these many years but it is certainly possible that the new leadership can push a lot of great changes to the platform.
What happens to someone who, lets say, bought $10k worth of LinkedIn stock two years ago and has no intention to sell. Will that person be forced to sell his stock?
Without being on LinkedIn, you're now relying on only the network you've built to date. Unfortunately, LinkedIn is not as efficient as OkCupid, but it's where everyone is, and it's the best place to find a career match. Saying you're going to delete your LinkedIn account is a lot like saying "eh, I'm just going to grab drinks at the bar until I meet the right person"
LinkedIn's iOS Developer Community cancels WWDC watch party after Microsoft purchase: http://appleinsider.com/articles/16/06/13/linkedins-ios-deve...
As as aside, how many startups in Silicon Valley are rushing to up their spam game in the wake of this? :)
Also curious that MS is valuing it Linked stock at $196 dollars a share when before the weekend it was trading at $133. Did they believe it was undervalued by almost 50% then? That seems dubious.
[1] http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/controllinginterest.asp
[0] LinkedIn did exactly this when it acquired Rapportive—another popular sales tool. They let Rapportive continue accessing LinkedIn data but blocked competitors from doing so.
PS - They mention that, as a result of this acquisition, Office 365 users might be able to invite other professionals to collaborate on their documents or projects. It's interesting that they chose such a weak example, when it's clear there are much greater benefits they'll be able to offer. One I already mentioned, and many more are mentioned in this thread. Probably trying to keep competitors guessing?
The only real complaint about this purchase would be that LinkedIn was overvalued. And I wouldn't bet on that since Microsoft surely sent a big team of their brightest cookies to make a valuation of the company.
But other than that, LinkedIn fits: it is a corporate social network, if you will. I know that "corporate social network" is almost an oxymoron, but bear with me. It is social in the sense that users register and interact with each other just as on a regular social network, but ultimately the service is corporate focused. LinkedIn has created one of the biggest and best maintained databases of employment information (and of possible business contacts) in the world. As TheArcane said, LinkedIn is "Facebook + Monster on steroids".
If you don't believe me, try to speak to people you know, active professionals outside of the IT sector and see how many of them have LinkedIn profiles. Better yet, talk to people who are not in employer-dominated sectors (i.e. not like IT, where the demand for qualified workers greatly exceeds the supply).
The same people who valued Nokia ($7.6 billion writedown) and aQuantive ($6 billion writedown)?
But in most other lines of work, the recruiters don't knock so often (or so cluelessly) ... and the access to other people's profiles actually is quite handy. Sales. Finance. Media. Education. Law. Non-profits. It's a long list.
It's anyone's guess whether Microsoft can execute the bulk of its strategic plan for LinkedIn. But the plan is not foolish.
I'd go further and say it is a global corporate social network (unlike, say Yammer, which is a local corporate social network).
I agree that this is a fantastic play by MS. When I am researching both job candidates and employers, LinkedIn is one of the two resources I use (Google being the other).
Sure, we can debate its usefulness, how popular it is outside of IT, etc. But I think across the board, no one LIKES LinkedIn.
By that simplistic reasoning no big company would ever make a mistake.
That kind of justification has almost always gone wrong.
Its a great acquisition. But is the price justified?
Yeah, I'm sure they did the same with Yammer too.
The biggest loser from this deal was Salesforce, they will be gutted.
This move took me completely by surprise, and I'm pretty impressed in Nadella for pulling it off. Although LNKD is a pretty ordinary proposition (financially - and what else really matters nowadays) by itself, 1 + 1 can equal 3 if it is linked tightly with Microsoft's productivity products such as Skype for Business, Outlook, CRM etc. And MSFT took advantage of LNKDs poor recent performance to buy them "cheap" while making their management look like hero's when the market was beginning to think they were anything but.
This is also an excellent reminder that you never know where the profiles you create will end up.
Disclaimer: I work at one of Lynda's competitors.
26.2 billion / (425 million*25% active) =
$247 per active user
http://news.microsoft.com/2016/06/13/microsoft-to-acquire-li...
Since it's a cash deal, you'll miss out on ~$4 share, and since you bought in Feb/March, you'll end up paying your normal tax rate in capital gains. My guess is they approve this deal before Feb/March so no clear advantage holding for that reason.
Perhaps someone else could chime in as well?
I know it is a little crazy, but I think they would have been better off buying Redhat for $15bn or Canonical (Ubuntu linux) for even cheaper.
The lighting is inconsistent with the background. I think the tree on the left has been added with the same lighting to try make the lighting of Satya and the two others unnoticed.
Without the tree, this picture would be blatantly laughable. At the same level as http://goo.gl/S6y3Qx
and the composition is just bizarre.
so strange to see for a multibillion dollar company acquiring another one.
We're going to be left with four or so big companies. Facebook, Google, Microsoft.
Yahoo Twitter e.t.c will be swallowed up next.
They now own Lynda.com, one of the strongest software and general education entities out there. This gives them not only a channel for promoting their own software (or providing some really comprehensive integrated help/training), but an insight into what kinds of software and other training people are putting time into.
* trojan-like telemetry impossible to control or block
* malware-like behaviour through "legitimate" software update channels, force-feeding windows 10 on unwilling customers
* embrace-extend-extinguish, mission accomplished by destroying Nokia's smart phone business
* their recent shenanigans with skype, and how they killed Linux support
* their abysmal, hard-to-use new directions in UI design (flat, 2D, no contrast, paper-like, or even metro for that matter)
I can already think of three to four nasty ways they can leverage (abuse) all the LinkedIn user information, work history, contacts, and networks, and I'm sure they will do it based on their recent user-antagonistic behaviour.
Oh, but they've nicely polished up their PR machinery so everything's cool now.
After hearing all the horror stories about their email spam (and how they spam all your contacts) and how random recruiters contact you with irrelevant offers, I have (so far) managed to stay completely off LinkedIn and hope to never have to sign up.
Let's hope they pull another Nokia with this, er, beloved company.
Is this the best non-Facebook ROI for a social network that's been available to the public markets?
[1]-https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/Investor [2]-https://c.s-microsoft.com/en-us/CMSFiles/InvestorPresentatio...
They had to write off the Nokia deal (over 7 billion I believe), this might be the next one of those.
Looks like they overpaid a bit.
Wouldn't surprise me another competitor will emerge and replace LinkedIn. It's time anyway with their annoying spamming of late.
On from that imagine you could afford to buy one of the most comprehensive CRMs in the world and all the lovely data it holds. In addition to the fringe benefits, if Microsoft use this purchase intelligently they'll reap serious rewards from it.
(I fucking hate Linked In, but I think it's a legit purchase for Microsoft)
Minuses: LinkedIn is relatively small. It's not that well-implemented. It has an oddball business model. It has no messaging component, and that's where social networking is going.
I also don't see other companies advertising jobs on the platform owned my a big tech giant whose sole purpose isn't that. I don't think they will make more money in the "recruiting" side.
This deal sounds like a 50% premium but that just brings it back to what it was 6 months ago, lesser than the peak price. Sounds more like LinkedIn just gave up.
Only positive thing I see is, that MS can bundle HR software with Office 365.
Where is the ethic alternative that is for everybody? (e.g.: AngelList is only for tech startups stuff and not for waiter kind of stuff).
What would qualify a company to run an job board?
And MS has a pretty bad history with these big acquisitions. MS Kin failed. Skype is not what it used to be. People seemed to start leaving it after MS bought it and made it worse. Nokia was a big disaster.
Shouldn't they have learned by now? I pretty sure MS is not going to make back the money spent on LinkedIn.
This will be marketed as a single place to keep up-to-date resumes, towards both job seekers and corporate HR people who want better insight into their own workforce.
They probably finished the deal over the weekend.
E: And it could well be the case that they had planned to announce it yesterday but chose not to because of the Orlando shootings.
[1] http://money.cnn.com/2011/05/19/technology/linkedin_IPO/
http://markets.ft.com/research/Markets/Tearsheets/Summary?s=...
http://www.reuters.com/article/linkedin-results-research-idU...
[1] (196 / 45) ^ (1 / numberOfYearsSinceMay2011==5.118) - 1
Looking trough the list this is probably the biggest acquisition for Microsoft (in monetary value). All-cash transaction nonetheless.
As an ex-Microsoft, I really don't understand that move. It doesn't make any sense. If the goal is to compete with the like of Facebook, I don't think it'll work as Linkedin is a business network. It makes me want to sell my stocks (-3.63% pre-market).
If I were MS I would have bought slack to replace both Sharepoint and Yammer.
The word is they almost bought Slack, but decided to heavily invest into Lync instead, turning it into Skype for Business and such.
My only concern is what this means for Lynda.com, it would be great if it could return to its pre-LinkedIn state, but I have a feeling it will somehow only get worse.
And if this goes the way of most other very large MS acquisitions, it'll be utterly wasted.
Once Microsoft is walking the enterprise path, the acquisition looks like a logical investment. (logical != profitable)
Does anybody think linkedin is worth one twentieth of Microsoft?
I don't.
LinkedIn knows the job report before the jobs report is released. Do you know how much money changes hands after that report is released?
That said, I hate LinkedIn.
A typical SF Bay Area core house is running close to $1 million these days.
A thousand such homes would be a billion. That's a small town, or a particular (upscale) San Francisco neighborhood, say, PacHeights or Cole Valley. Home to about 3,000 - 4,000 people.
Twenty six neighborhoods would be the full LinkedIn value. Call it 26,000 homes in the San Francisco or Peninsula area. Most of Palo Alto, and a neighboring town, say, Menlo Park, or Redwood City. About 75,000 - 100,000 people. One eighth of San Francisco.
The typical new car is, roughly, $26,000. A thousand of them them is $26 million. A typical freeway lane can see 2,000 cars an hour per lane, or, say for a large 10-lane freeway, 20,000 cars per hour. If you filled that highway to capacity for just over 2 days, you'd see $26 billion worth of (new) cars flowing past.
A 150,000 square foot school at $300/sqft construction costs (via random DDGing) runs about $45 million. You could build about 570 such schools.
Annual operating expenses of a large high school might run about $30 million. You could fund ~870 such schools for a year (or one school for 870 years).
Annual petroleum consumption in the US is about 19.6 million barrels per day. The LinkedIn purchase prices would cover 26 days of $50/bbl oil for the US.
Congratulations to AngelList!
Confidence trending upwards again?
Extremely valuable for a company competing for inter-business collaboration.
Depending how used, of course.
Microsoft exec #2: "How about we acquire one of the most hated brands out there? One that makes tech people grind their teeth when it's even mentioned. How about LinkedIn? That should tarnish our image up till it's right back where it used to be."
Microsoft exec #1: "There could be a vice-presidency in it for me if I can make that work! Great idea!"
What is the value of those users? I'd argue they're basically worthless, and that this is a disastrously bad acquisition.
Let me propose some concrete measures: How often is the service's single sign-on login button used in your app? What is the value of the users in your app sourced from this service? I'd argue this is a great comparison, because if you can't monetize LinkedIn's users by sourcing them from LinkedIn traditionally (via ads, clever sourcing hacks, sign in buttons, etc.), you're certainly not going to monetize them effectively by owning the whole platform.
Where it is available, Facebook can be something like 10% of a free-to-play mobile game's logins. Facebook ads may be the source for as many as 20% of your users. Facebook login and Facebook sourced users often have long term value twice as high as everyone else.
Facebook is very valuable, and it's what made Zynga, Supercell, IAC (Tinder, Match.com) rich. Spotify might see something as high as 20% logins, and the diminished amount of account sharing alone must make them a few million dollars extra. Theoretically, if Facebook had not censored game post spam on its network, Zynga would still be a huge, rich company. If only Zynga could have bought Facebook instead of all those little gaming companies...
By comparison, LinkedIn retired their single sign in button. When it was available, it may have represented less than 1% of logins on a business service website and app. LinkedIn-sourced users had no different LTV, and represented less than 2% of all users.
LinkedIn was probably overvalued before Microsoft bought it, radically so. LinkedIn had no way of legitimately realizing the 20% fees recruiters enjoy—and even if they did, those fees exist exclusively in the tech world, exclusively for a narrow part of the workforce, with no credible path to introducing those fees to the rest of employment recruiting. Considering LinkedIn's poor track record overall of the value of those users, what is Microsoft going to do with them instead?
A bunch of companies try this path and fail. For example, GoDaddy is trying the same thing: Buy companies (you've never heard of) to try to cross-sell between GoDaddy users and company users. They make acquisitions based on incorrectly extrapolated LTVs for like 100 accounts they intensively hand cross-sold pre-acquisition. Then GoDaddy discovers two things a year later: the actual LTV of their test cohort, which is wildly below their estimate, and the actual value of the remaining 99,900 of their acquired users, which is nothing. Even if you bought a zero-revenue startup for $100,000 and your cost per acquired user (CPA) is $1.00, your LTV is still near $0, so what did you earn?
I suspect this purchase isn't about users. I suspect major LinkedIn investors shopped around the company and financial-engineered a sophisticated kickback for the decision makers on the acquirer's end. Much like when Google purchased the Google Ventures-backed Nest and enriched a huge number of insiders at great shareholder expense, the acquisition team at Microsoft was probably duped into enriching a great deal of insiders too.
"SEATTLE — In a last-ditch attempt to connect with consumers, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced on Monday that he had purchased LinkedIn for $26.2 billion in an all-cash deal. Founded in 2003, the social networking giant — which boasts more than 443 million professionals — makes it possible for users to “connect” with people they don’t like enough to add on Facebook. 443 million of those “connections” were made early Monday morning, as Microsoft’s Nadella attempted to fulfill a lifelong dream of having more internet friends than MySpace Tom. The deal, which had been in the works for months, came together only days after Microsoft placed a set of similar bids for Yahoo, Neopets, and Geocities in an effort to buy up the rest of 2005’s hottest web properties. At $26.2B for 443M friends, Microsoft has answered a long-held question about the true cost of friendship: the answer? $59.14 USD."
[0] https://medium.com/@draftedapp/microsoft-ceo-finds-26-2b-und...
Isn't that a million times earnings? Way, way over valued. You could hire a team and ad agency to make a better LinkedIn for $10 million...
Darnit, I thought there was hope for a second.
* Exec A: Social things are Good (coming to the conclusion about 10 years too late)
* Exec B: Shall we create our own Google+?
* Exec C: No, that didn't turn out that well for Google. Let's buy something existing.
* Exec B: Ok, I've Googled a list of top 10 social networking sites for sale, and ordered them by list price, but really we'll need to come up with a strategy first to make a good choice...
* Exec A: Booooring. Let's just buy the cheapest one and be done with it. What's the worst which could happen? Gimme a bonus.
To be honest, they're probably buying the users, not the product.
So now, LinkedIn will turn SinkedIn !!
FYI, 15% savings on server
Hi x,
As a Decision Maker, you want to manage your IT resources efficiently to support the growth of your business. That is why we wanted to tell you about a special offer to help you realize huge cost savings and operational efficiencies:
Until June 30th, 2016, save 15% when you move to Windows Server 2012 R2 Datacenter, which provides unlimited virtualization and the ability to consolidate more workloads on fewer servers. Plus, with Software Assurance, an upgrade today will put you on the fast lane to Windows Server 2016 when it becomes available.
Click here to take advantage of this special one-time offer
Thanks, The Microsoft Small and Midsize Business Team