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Similarly for me, flash varied (from 20 to 50fps) with pauses, in chrome on linux. Canvas & html both around 40fps, svg slighlty lower. Based on my experience, I would rule out flash, but since majority of users are on win or osx I second the author that flash is probably best choice for him.

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I actually had the 'pauses' on Windows using Firefox 3.6 as well. So it's not 100% cut and dried - but, I think his conclusion (use Flash, but Canvas is a growing alternative) is good.

I think his conclusion should be taken with a big grain of salt, because, if you look ahead, to the inevitable future, Flash will probably not be anywhere close to as big an actor as it is today, while Canvas will without doubt grow and grow. But I guess if time stood still, which seems to be the case with most Flash protagonists.....

I'm not sure anyone is arguing Flash will be better forever, it's just at the moment everyone is getting excited about Canvas even though it's not a viable replacement in most situations yet.

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