3.6GB - http://wlstorage.net/torrent/wlinsurance-20130815-A.aes256.t...
49GB - http://wlstorage.net/torrent/wlinsurance-20130815-B.aes256.t...
349GB - http://wlstorage.net/torrent/wlinsurance-20130815-C.aes256.t...
94GB - https://file.wikileaks.org/torrent/2016-06-03_insurance.aes2...
I don't know why they would put out a few hundred gigabytes of fake files. The contents might not be as interesting as people hope, though.
Seems to me as likely as not that there is nothing really there.
Ciphertext indistiguishability[1] is a basic requirement for any encryption scheme. All modern ciphers are designed to make that hard.
That said he can't really play that card too often.
Looks like you can check it now. The keys went public:
pre-commitment 3: UK FCO f33a6de5c627e3270ed3e02f62cd0c857467a780cf6123d2172d80d02a072f74
pre-commitment 2: Ecuador eae5c9b064ed649ba468f0800abf8b56ae5cfe355b93b1ce90a1b92a48a9ab72
pre-commitment 1: John Kerry 4bb96075acadc3d80b5ac872874c3037a386f4f595fe99e687439aabd0219809
To trick people like you? `dd if=/dev/urandom` is much easier than finding a comparable quantity of actual info.
I don't know enough to have much opinion on the odds that's the case, vs them being real, though.
The same reason a stick-up man might put their hand in their pocket to mimic the shape of a gun. If you have no weapon, it's still often useful to make people think you have one.