Which is what you would expect most of the time in a growing economy.
Which is what you would expect most of the time in a growing economy.
The growth rate in the past several years in the developed world has been the lowest in any economic expansion. In the US, around 1.5% lately and is only positive because the inflation rate calculated by the government (by which it is adjusted) is significantly under-estimated.
P/E is calculated at a point in time - current price over last reported earnings. The CAPE (Cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings) ratio is a better measure because it's calculated based on the last 10-years earnings. It's somewhat predictive of future stock market returns (10 to 17 years out), albeit with wide variation.
Right now the American stock market is very expensive. Take a look at http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/. Many international markets are not, though: http://www.starcapital.de/research/stockmarketvaluation. Current American market valuations have most people expecting very little real (inflation-adjusted) returns from the stock market over the next 10 years.