Tuesday Shouldn't Change the Narrative

I think this is only true if the election results are both fair (irrelevant levels of cheating or human error) and close.

Should Trump win by a significant margin e.g. > 4%, that should cause you to ask whether systemic bias exists in polling. I think most of us in Europe concluded something like this when Brexit occurred. Some people were claiming the polling was accurate but the reporting was inaccurate, however when I doubled checked the polling I could see no discrepancy. Most of that weeks polls were very wrong and so were the bookmakers, the people with strong incentives to discern truth from bullshit.

Take a look:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_United...

It is really remarkable. Internet polls are accurate?!! Who knew! Depending on your reasons for believing in a significant prejudice in polling, that could indeed change the narrative.