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It's probably not half the community, but we'll know soon when voting starts.

There is a certain elegance to just increasing the block size and leaving everything else about Bitcoin the same — no segwit, no lightning, etc. And it could have been done a year ago.

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Why would a straight block size increase be elegant? It preserves a bunch of protocol warts like witness malleability, quadratic hashing, lack of script versioning, etc. I think it is far more elegant to have a single protocol change that fixes all these issues in one fell swoop and also an effective block size increase.

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder I suppose.

Those wanting a unlimited block size increase are mostly less technical and don't understand the difference between expanding and scaling.

If it slows nodes down exponentially as the chain gets too big then that isn't scalable.

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