Hacker News Reader

>>Confidence is a proxy for competence

I take it you've never heard of Dunning-Kruger effect.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect

Or its opposite, Imposter Syndrome:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impostor_syndrome

Just because there are exceptions, and we have names for both the positive and negative forms of the exceptions, doesn't mean there's not a strong correlation overall.

In the Dunning-Kruger paper, estimated ability is positively correlated with ability.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com