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OK, I see where you are coming from, and it is a fair interpretation. I just don't read opposite as equal to false. I read it the opposite of a proven claim is an unproven claim, not a false claim. But I think this is a distraction - even if he meant it as proven false, and fell into fallacious thinking, he should simply be corrected, not vilified, not investigated by the government, and not hounded out of a job by a billionaire activist.

That I agree with, if true. On a broader level OTOH, having now read the articles debunking his 538 writing, it seems this is not a reliable witness. See other links in this and other subthreads here

"There is statistically strong evidence of X" and "there isn't" are opposites. I think you're perhaps reading it over-pedantically.

>So he does claim that these are opposites.

Opposites as "does not prove" (vs proves). Not opposites as in "disproves".