By the same argument you can predict that everything will fail and be right most of the time. That sort of blanket dismissal is intellectually lazy and therefore uninteresting. Let's try to do better than that here.
Yes, exactly. It's worth reminding people that for every success there are many unheard of failures.
I find it lazy when people claim "They said that about <example>", as if that's actually a counterpoint (it isn't).