What I personally don't understand: Why don't we cache JIT results between runs? That might be a worthwile optimization and even possible in the face of class loading.
It probably would be like running ngen on .net, just WITH performance statistics of a program. (Enabling specialization of calls for types commonly passed or eliminating constant expressions while keeping the generic version of a function around - that's hard in AOT as you need profiling information. I think sun's C/C++ compiler was able to do that for AOT, resulting in large speedups. But maybe it only used it for branch prediction).
Edit: What I forgot to add - I like the way you could always AOT things in .NET with ngen but also use a JIT where possible. Now that Java turned out to be owned by the evil empire and .NET the one by the company committed to open source - imagine reading that 10 years ago - I'm really curious in which way things will develop. And with all the new contenders as well. JVM (and .net) is not dead, but a lot of interesting alternatives are getting traction now.