Why AT&T is increasing its Pricing
online.wsj.com
online.wsj.com
AT&T is moving from an all-you-can-eat data structure to one where the people who consume the most network pay more.
Of course this wouldn't be a problem if Steve Jobs hadn't made an implicit promise that you'd be able to get all-you-can-eat data from AT&T for $30 on an iPad, motivating many people to buy one. I almost bought one last weekend based on this assumption, now I'm glad I didn't.
But does anyone know whether a high-bandwidth user really costs AT&T significantly more than one wandering around with their phone on downloading just a trickle of data. AT&T already paid for their infrastructure, right?
However, the opportunity cost of a high bandwidth user is much greater, because their use might be denying 100 other "normal" users access to the network. If 25% of those users decide to cancel because their service sucks, then AT&T has lost significant revenue.
*Note I am not apologizing for AT&T at all, in fact I think they are evil.
It's a tough trade off to make. The way I see it is that you can plan for the increase in data usage and save lots of money on support staff.
The commoditization of wireless access is happening and it seems like AT&T/Verizon are making it easy for someone else to enter the market. Clearwire & Sprint are quickly rolling out a 4G network in major metropolitan areas offering unlimited service for $30/month.
I know integrated services are good, but i'm honestly not sure i want a device which packs several components each with a per unit cost of > $20. I'd much rather look for competitive deals. Same goes for GPS.
Now, if we couldn't only get them to talk better to each other....
I think that plan is still available until next monday, unless I'm mistaken and it ended last monday...
But you can't sign up for the unlimited plan and turn it off whenever you please, which is how Apple is still advertising the iPad despite these changes being announced. [1] At this point nobody can a new iPad and still get this old pricing, given that the iPad is backordered 7-10 days and the changes take effect in 4 days.
http://www.att.com/Investor/Growth_Profile/download/master_Q...
For the three month period ending 12/31/2009 they posted $13.8 billion in revenue and $3.4 billion in income for their wireless division. Not to shabby.
The bottom line is this: they're raising prices because they can. Verizon, Sprint, and T-Mobile will happily follow suit once they've observed any potential customer-base attrition and are convinced that they can do the same without repercussion.
In this context, the comparison to AAPL just seems silly.
- I don't mind paying more if I use more. - I do mind, however, if someone paying the same as me is ruining my connection.
I'd consider myself a heavy iPhone user, and yet the most data I've ever used in a month is 175MB. Why?
* My email is set to download manually. * I buy and purchase apps and music using the computer instead of over the 3G. I update my apps over the computer as well. * I don't stream music, and I don't use YouTube very often.
Despite the fact that it's not uncommon for me to be surfing the web on my phone for more than an hour a day, I've never come close to the limit. For me, not only am I going to save $15 a month but the service is going to get a ton faster too. How can anyone consider this a bad thing? Just plug your phone into the computer when you want to update your apps, and that's pretty much the only change most people will need to make to save $15 a month.
This would help to get rid of the current oligopoly in mobile communication market and individual customers would win.
Much like AT&T, I suppose.
Personally I'm bearish on Apple's long term prospects for this reason: right now they're making a killing on selling mp3 players, a category in which they have a market share approaching 100%. But this is a dying category -- in the future people will increasingly listen to music on their phones, and Apple has some very serious competitors who aren't going to let Apple take over the entire mobile phone market.
Serious? Please. They'll be serious when they get standard Android releases that upgrade within months after the version release. As it is now, the MOTO Cliq is still running 1.5, and the G1 is still pegged at 1.6.
As is now, android is fragmented in pretty much equal thirds (1.5, 1.6 and 2.1), and Symbian requires C++ to get much done in it.
Google refuses to acknowledge that people aren't getting updates for the phones they've purchased, and that apple is eating their lunch by releasing new Os versions even for their oldest phones still.
I'm very pissed off at Google here for this. I'd really like Android to be a competitive chance against the iPhone, but once the iPhone gets on Verizon, I think you're going to see Android adoption tank.
Edit: Additionally, Google refuses to go the last mile to get paid developer accounts working for more than 9 countries. This blows up the Android ecosystem, as there are absurd levels of "good enough" free apps out there pushing out fantastic paid app development.
And not to mention the copyright infringer aspect enabled by the busted "returns" system. It's absurd it's trivial to keep an app you pay for then return, yet they force devs to allow a user to return the app.
Clearly so.
I wish they would just turn off my service if I reached a cap, or at least notify me.