That's a good calculation. http://hypertextbook.com/facts/2007/EvanKaplan.shtml backs up your facts and claims that a raindrop is actually more like 6 mm, which makes the straight line view much longer.

However in the rain, on a highway, we have water falling, water splashed up from the ground, a mist formed by cars, high humidity, and a wet layer on the outside of the car. These factors reasonably could impact this device if the laser is emitting at water's absorption frequency.