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I'm not saying you're wrong, but if this is all that predictable... wouldn't the market already expect and reacted to this to some extent?

Also wouldn't it be pretty easy to make some money off of these oh so sure events?

In fairness I'm always wondering this when folks predict such things.

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What he said was correct, its more a comment on the fundamental relationships than a prediction. The only thing that is priced in is the expectation of what is going to happen. No one knew for sure what the FED would do or when.

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