My typical use case doesn't need native apps - a PWA is good enough for me. I will not comment on speculation about the compile-to-native feature because personally it is irrelevant.
I can say that as you I prefer Vue over React and some of my personal reasons are:
* I like opinionated frameworks
* I don't like to mix Javascript and HTML - I can handle a Vue template to any designer but I would not trust a JSX file to a non-programmer.
* Vue is easier for developer onboarding - with Vue the gap between a junior and a senior developer is way smaller.
React may be better, I don't care, Vue is easier for my development style.