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"To the extent that he’s been successful, it’s because he’s been strategic about what he reveals, and to the extent that he is heading for disaster, it is because he is often unstrategic about what he reveals."

I like the rest of the article, but this seems almost like the definition of confirmation bias.

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What counterexamples would you offer? Bearing in mind that it may have been intended only to apply to consequences that he was responsible for, not things that he had nothing to do with, but I can't think of any examples of the latter right now.

It's also somewhat tautological, if we define being strategic as inherently leading to beneficial outcomes.

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