Since it’s tax time I can’t help but feel that the true long term danger to block chain technology isn’t draconian government regulation, it’s the IRS.
For example I have a transaction earlier this year where I purchased some software for $15 BTC equivalent. Transaction fees back then weren’t as brutal so I will ignore that issue as I believe it is 100% solvable. What was truly brutal is that using standard FIFO accounting practices I owe an additional 30% tax on the “money” I spent. My cost basis for that particular coin amount was 10% of what the current price of BTC was when I made the transaction.
A new user will have no idea that they even need to worry about this. Worse, Coinbase is fucking awful when it comes to transparent tax information. So as soon as the IRS starts publicly punishing intentional (or worse, unintentional) tax evaders it is a very real possibility that the interest from the broad public will wane.
Now if prices stabilize this problem starts to recede. But even if it does and prices only fluctuate 1-2%, I STILL need to worry come tax time.
Edit: I understood and knew I would owe capital gains when I purchased the software. I am not complaining about having to pay it personally, I am pointing out that this is a pretty significant problem for widespread usage and that the average user of Bitcoin right now probably has very little idea of the consequences of actually using a crypto currency for any kind of transaction that is considered a taxable event by the IRS.