Elon Musk’s “Innovations” Are Not the Future – They’re Delaying It
medium.com
medium.com
The article also repeatedly makes statements about getting less Americans on the road, out of their cars, and on to public transport, using quotes like "He valorizes individual transportation because he doesn’t want to be around other people — even seems to fear them, based on his comments — but sticking everyone in their own vehicle simply doesn’t work in the increasingly dense, urbanized world in which we live." I hate to break it to some folks outside the US: many people in the US despise public transport, specifically because it means they have to be near other people. Anecdotally, I've heard stories from 10-15 different friends who won't even call a store to find out if some item is in stock _because they don't want to deal with people_.
The U.S. (in general, from my perspective) wants less traffic, less pollution, etc. But we're not going to give up our cars to get it. I realize the Catch-22 nature of this.
That's why automated cars are the future, at least for the United States. Do those cars have the ability to drive in the rain and snow? Not yet. That hasn't been a focus for the companies training these models. Let the system learn on the "easy" stuff first, and then tackle the harder things later.
This "other people are weird and gross" idea strikes me as exactly the wrong kind of sentiment needed to help humanity pull itself together. And I'm the sort of person who believes that motivation is a good predictor of outcomes. So I agree, this is not the kind of visionary I want to follow.
Studies seem to show that marathon runners die from cardiac arrest at the rate of one every 3 to 6 million miles. That is about 160 to 330 deaths per billion miles. By comparison motor vehicle fatality rates are about 12 per billion miles (including pedestrians). So I wonder if we should stop worrying about cars and serial killers and start worrying about running...
Ironically, I got my 1 in 3 million figure from the abstract of a paper with the opposite slant, which you may also find edifying:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18156224
Note that I translated hours to miles by multiplying 14 million hours by an average speed of 5.67 mph. This was taken from the following link, with the average time for the NYC marathon in 2016:
http://time.com/5007486/new-york-city-marathon-runners-slow/