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Comment by nabla9 | Hacker News Reader

Modern China has a political system where nobility of 60 million people who mostly inherited their position have the power. They select some of the people who start slowly ascend towards real power over decades. Those who get into power have expiry date and they must step down and let others in.

It's not a democracy, it's clearly authoritarian rule of the few, but it's not a dictatorship. There is system a that allows continuity and people change.

Xi may do fine at first. After a while the need to stay in the power affects everything he does. Government organization, military organization, economics, even foreign policy. Nobody stays in power without supporters and they except to be paid.

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> it's not a dictatorship.

The explanation given in first year political science was that China is a very rare example of a successful party-based dictatorship, as opposed to a dictatorship based on an individual or family.

A few red families control much of china’s wealth and political power now. It is quickly changing into a more traditional dictatorship.

Well, plenty of the richest people in China has no connection with the red families. The most prominent companies in China now, like Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, are all founded by regular people. Who would have thought Jack Ma would become the richest people in China?

That’s only a small part of the economy. If you at everything from SOEs to taxi companies to jewelry cartels to real estate agencies, it’s mostly all red.

This is true, but those people enjoy their wealth only at the sufferance of the party oligarchy; they take their marching orders on any political issue from the party and if they ever challenged the party oligarchy on any issue their wealth would evaporate and / or they would be forced into exile. They don't form a separate locus of power that is separate from the party elite, they're completely subservient to it.

It appears quite many of the richest people in China have no political ties now. In fact most rich people in the past decade are either in tech (there are plenty of them as China's tech industry is not any less vibrant than silicon valley now), or in real estate. Yes, Wang Jianlin is from a red family, but there're many that're not.

Plenty of my alumni from Zhejiang University founded their own companies in China. I don't think they are any different from startup founders here in SF.

I agree with that assessment. Xi is certainly accelerating the process.

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