Bird has raised $100M for electric scooter sharing
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Genuinely interested in how such business is able to make a dime.
“I know. Scooters. They cost money, right? And it’ll need a ton of marketing!”
I dunno, they're all over the place and people seem to love them. For getting around a city center they're more convenient to rent simply because most of your destinations won't have a good solution for storage. You can pull up right to where you want to go and when you're ready to leave can usually find another one within a block or two.
If you, say, used one to get to & from work on a commute of a few miles you'd break even on buying your own scooter pretty quickly.
The big advantage is not having to deal with storing or charging the scooter, ever.
In Santa Monica & Venice there is usually a Bird or two within a block of you at all times.
In china, Mobike charges $1.58 per month for unlimited* trips on their ridesharing bikes. Given how their bikes cost ~$100 each, and how they operate millions of bikes, they are losing massive amounts of money.
Investors have the same mentality (once we are a monopoly, we can charge more) but until then they are incinerating cash.
*Mobike rides have the first 2 hours of each trip free. If you stay on longer you need to pay. However, you can just switch bikes after 2 hours to avoid the fee.
That hasn't been my experience with Mobike. When I had a paid membership, I got 2 hours cumulative for free over a month. Didn't matter how many different bikes I used, it was cumulative. Once that was up, then I'd be charged additional fees.
I wonder how much money Mobike makes from people who forget to lock their bikes. I've given them something like ~$50 so far because I keep forgetting to lock my bike and then don't notice until later after someone has been riding my rented bike for free for a number of hours. Once I realize what happened, I notify them, and then they lock down my account and won't unlock it until I pay up the racked up fees.
Maybe you are thinking of a different promo? Here’s the one I’m thinking of https://mobike.com/sg/blog/post/mobike-pass
This promo is for Singapore, it’s the same promo as China just in English. In this promo Mobike is offering unlimited free rides (<2hrs) with no deposit for $0.63/month. It says you can switch bikes to reset the time.
They are running this far below cost. I can’t see how Mobike makes any profit off this.
75 USD - 90 USD for a Bike (https://m.alibaba.com/product/60710077310/export-EU-standard...)
1 USD - 25 USD for the remote lock (https://m.alibaba.com/product/60623794401/GPRS-Bluetooth-Cho...)
At this scale I wouldn't be surprised that they could get a whole painted bike + the lock + all the importation costs and taxes for 100 USD (maybe even less).
One ride costs 1 USD... That means they just need 100 rides to break even on a bike... If they get an average of 1 ride per bike in all their fleet (which is low imo), they just need 100 days of operation to break even on all their fleet. (These calculations don't take into account the operational costs, but you get the idea. As you grow and start creating more network effects and gaining economies of scales these costs will only grow linearly).
According to Seattle City Data, the average ride per bike here is something around 0.6 rides per bike (daily). That would likely improve again once it starts warming up.
Now regarding the Scooters, you could do a similar analysis. I was able to find foldable electric scooters at very cheap prices in bulk (45 USD, 80 USD, 70 USD, 120 USD, etc...). So it's also technically possible to break even very fast with scooters as well -> https://www.alibaba.com/trade/search?fsb=y&IndexArea=product...
Finally, there are more angles to a business like this. There's a huge component which is gov subsidies. Local governments love this crap and I can totally see them paying these companies for providing a reliable alternative transportation. Another angle is just plain cheap advertising. You can basically wrap these crappy bikes and scooters with ad decals. You could also monetize based on geo-location and sell contextual ads as well as selling the data to brands.
You also made other good points like why wouldn't someone simply buy a scooter. What's appealing about this model is that you can just leave it anywhere. You don't have to get worried about this thing getting charged, or someone robbing it or vandalizing it. You use it when you need it and you continue with your life. Owning one adds an incredible amount of burden to something as mundane as moving from point A to point B.
In Seattle there are crews of people moving bikes around, usually from downhill areas to uphill areas. The public transportation & rideshare is good enough that many people are using bike shares for one way rides. Alternatively E-bikes might be used for the uphill half of the trip. The overhead of paying people to collect and move bikes doesn't scale the same way that app development and brand recognition does.
I would really like to see the numbers on how many bikes are relocated before reuse, as well as numbers on how often bikes are stolen, damaged, or lost.
I love biking, and I like the energy in urban biking that bike sharing is generating, but I am very bearish on the business of bike sharing.
The bigger question here is whether people will adopt scooters when they are more comfortable on bikes.
In the UK any one who got their driving licence after 2001 must pass the CBT before they can ride a scoter and that's limited to 50cc
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[1] I want to say I paid something like ~30 USD, but this was ~10 years ago. Unlike a standard vehicle, however, there is no inspection check pre-requisite for safety nor emissions. I think the fee is purely for tags. Helmets are definitely a requirement though.
[2] AFAIK there are no additional insurance requirements though. There weren't any ~10 year ago when I one, but I can't remember if that's because my comprehensive car insurance did double-duty in the event were I to, say, hit a pedestrian in a crosswalk and they were to sustain damage.
http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-scooters-20180307-s...
http://smdp.com/bird-lovers-tweet-as-tickets-ruffle-feathers...
https://dailybruin.com/2018/02/20/ucpd-begins-to-enforce-tra...
https://patch.com/california/santamonica/santa-monica-cracks...
"Bird Rides Inc. has a business license to operate a
brick-and-mortar administrative office," Santa Monica
public information officer Constance Farrell told Los
Angeles Times, "but they do not have the appropriate
license to operate scooters in an ad hoc manner on the
public right of way."
In an attempt to increase safety, Bird has begun giving
out free helmets to its users – so far, they've delivered
2,500 free helmets which can be ordered from the "safety"
tab in the app, according to Los Angeles Times.I'm all for reducing government overhead and overreach, but I don't think helmet laws are a good example.
I have even seen some people claim that, measured in QALYs other such utilitarian metrics, helmet laws make people unhealthier on average in that they discourage riding bicycles and that the net effect of this is worse than the increased risk, but I don't know how reliable that result is.
I think your idea might work in cities that have designated bike lanes or bike-only roads. For example, in Santa Monica, we have some bike-only lanes, so it might work here, but like in downtown LA, it would be a shitshow and I can basically guarantee that people will die at some point. And then you have to deal with that mess.
Specifically: Even those that choose not to wear helmets will be safer due to the increase in ridership. The comparison to seat-belts isn't appropriate because my not wearing a seat-belt in a car accident increases risk for others (specifically others in the same car as me).
There is also fairly conflicted evidence that helmets are effective. There is a fairly narrow treatment range where they work well. Be hit by something going faster or slower than that range, and they don't matter much. They are nothing like full-face motorcycle helmets.
There is also evidence (although not well replicated?) that drivers treat helmeted cyclists worse than unhelmeted ones.
In such an non-clear cut case, I would suggest letting people decide for themselves, if they want to wear a helmet or not, would be the best option.
[1] https://helmets.org/stats.htm [2] https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/do-bi...
> In such an non-clear cut case, I would suggest letting people decide for themselves,
I think it's pretty clear-cut in the case of seat-belts and helmets. Paternalistic laws do work.
[1] http://www.youthforroadsafety.org/news-blog/news-blog-item/t...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bicycle_law_in_California#Bicy...
https://www.tracy.k12.ca.us/sites/bes/Documents/Bicyle%20Hel...
http://losangelesbicycleattorney.com/bicycle-helmet-laws-wha...
I wonder what they are getting ticketed for
https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/scooters
Here's the full text:
https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.x....
I do wonder why they don't cover the face tho.
But it's a neat idea. And if they change the law, it'll be super profitable (especially around campuses).
Also, if you rent a "real" scooter or motorcycle they usually have helmets you can use.
Scooters that you can leave anywhere, and find anywhere - that's not just "helmet rental in location X". That's "helmet rental _anywhere_". Seems like a hard problem to me.
Yeah, I know. I thought some places (like kiddie go-kart places) only give you the sock and don't require the hard helmet to go with it but maybe I'm wrong.
So I think it has somehow been negotiated with the authorities.
Still want the cops to warn or ticket the folks who ride on the sidewalk though.
It sounds like the Uber model: ignore the law and try to get big enough to change it. Honestly, how much would it cost them to equip each garbage scooter with a garbage helmet? An extra dollar or two?
Santa Monica and West LA were bad enough before becoming infested with incompetents on scooters.
I own one myself. They have a max speed of 25Kmph, but usually you maximize distance, so you use the eco-mode which keeps you at 18Kmph.
The chances of head & face trauma are substantially reduced, and the chance of a fatal injury reduced by almost 70% w/a helmet on.
I think that Bird's "we'll send you a free helmet" is a cute way to get around criticism & liability.
But given the clear market demand for bird and bike-sharing, I would love to see an entrepreneur really nail the "portable bike helmet" category or figure out a non-gross way to share helmets with strangers.
There are a few options on the market today that show people are thinking this problem through, but what else could be built besides a foldable / more portable solution?
https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/fendhelmet/fend-the-col...
(1) https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2016/sep/22/bicycle...
I don't have a real opinion on when people "ought" to wear helmets. It's a tradeoff. People do have falls walking and accidents in cars where serious injury would have been prevented by wearing a helmet. And many of these sharing services are not practical if one is required to wear a "real" helmet.
[0]: https://hovding.com
The helmet law seems to have something much closer to a Vespa in mind. And while a Bird can move along at a good pace, it's slower than a bicycle at speed. I believe they lowered the max speed after launching.
You aren't required to wear a helmet on a bicycle if you're over 18, and I think bikes are much harder to control in low-speed contexts.
The law should change.
However people should definitely not ride Birds on sidewalks (although a majority of people do).
In my opinion the law should change in that bicycle riders should wear helmets, too. It's not how much you can control your bike/scooter/segway but what happens if something unexpected happens. Blown type, hitting a curb or large stone, or a car.
Similarly six-point restraints, I'm always confused why there's just a lap-and-shoulder belt in most cars.
I might be convinced to personally start wearing a helmet if an awareness campaign gained traction. As it is, I will take the additional risk to avoid looking dumb.
I personally believe that (personal adult) helmet laws are a violation of individual liberties but we should create laws that force bike/scooter sharing companies to make sanitary helmets available. It is better to regulate business behavior than personal behavior.
On a bike you are exposed. In a car, you are not. On a bike you travel around 30km average. In a car, up to 100km average.
When travelling at 100km with no seatbelt (legal in many areas), in a collision, you become exposed rather suddenly.
Fix the problem, styrofoam will not save you.
Pedestrians are on a sidewalk often with parked cars between them and the threat of tons of steel at velocity.
Scooters or anything going 15mph should not be on a sidewalk.
Is there a word for this? Theorizesplaining?
You'd fit right in.
Laws are facts not opinions. There are 49 all age helmet laws in the US, most at the city/county level.
That crosses into personal attack. We ban accounts that do this, and I'm sorry to see that your account has been breaking the site guidelines quite a bit. Would you please (re-)read https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and take the spirit of this site to heart when commenting here? That means this: if you have a substantive point to make, make it thoughtfully; if you don't, please don't comment until you do. And be scrupulously respectful toward your fellow users.
...and a scooter hitting a pedestrian is not as traumatic as a car hitting a scooter. ..given the relative speed differences of people/scooters/cars and humans ability to process objects at speed remaining the same.
Are children allowed to ride bikes on sidewalks in your country/state/city? If so, can't they murder someone with that bike?
Furthermore, head injuries to car occupants would be reduced if they wore helmets (why else do race car drivers wear them?)
There are risk factors, then there is absurd. Racing drivers drive a lot faster than road vehicles, they also have minimal creature comfort protection like airbags because the car has to be light. They have roll cages however that you can thump your head on.
I suppose we could all walk around with goggles because y'know, someone might poke their eye put.
I somehow find this thread highly related to it.
This, is why we can't have good things. Because assholes ruin it for everyone.
Most electronic scooters I've encountered are on sidewalks and pavements, travelling at speeds that can injure pedestrains pretty badly.
It does seem (to me at least) that alot of these idiots take pride in their turning skills, weaving left and right, avoiding people at the last moment possible. Most people just have to stop moving and wait for the bikes to pass because their speed these things are travelling at, coupled with the distance they are away from them, leaves pretty much zero margin for their (the rider's) error. Theres literally nothing much you can do, except to hope they don't hit you.
Furthermore, these bike are pretty silent. When they come from behind, it's quite a shock to the pedestrain.
Its a nice innovation, but I'm inclined to towards heavy handed regulation towards these things because of assholes.
In Europe, for example Amsterdam or Berlin, it would be a different story, however. They fit very well to the existing comprehensive system of bike lanes. They have a similar speed and manoeuvrability and also both the pedestrians and cyclist are already well conditioned for avoiding each other. Try stepping onto a bike lane in Berlin - you will be feeling really stupid in a hurry.
Yet it is now a "fact" that helmets make car drivers pass closer to you, because of this study.
Is there any studies that have looked at that?
Essentially an origami helmet. Does anyone have some data points as to the efficacy of such a thing?
"riders of motorized scooters must be at least 16 years old, licensed drivers, wearing a helmet and not riding the scooters on sidewalks"
$100M ?
Seems pretty limiting to me. Street legal in a VERY constrained set of circumstances. Only roads with bicycle lanes or a speed limit of 25mph or less. And probably varies wildly based on jurisdiction.
https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/?1dmy&urile=wcm:path:/dmv_...
Edit: Downvoting? That’s cool, but please explain where I’m off base. Do you not think that “has bike lanes or a speed limit of 25mph” is pretty limited?
It sounds to me the regulations may be more intended to restrict the speed of things that look like bicycles or mopeds, and probably won’t affect these scooters at all. Look at how small those wheels are.
So, for example, a roadway with a posted 30mph limit, and no bike lanes...the scooters are not legal in that case.
The rules on ebikes in California are very different - there is a 20 mph speed limit for throttle control, and 28 mph speed limit for pedal assist. But the limit applies to the bike, not the road. I got confused by the differences between the two laws.
I don't think there's anything similar to overseas bikesharing in US, and I can understand why VCs want to invest.
1: https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtm...
Leaving my hotel one morning this week, around 6:30am and before commuter traffic had really started, I noticed there were eight of their scooters line up just outside the exit of the hotel. I maid a point to walk by other hotels on the way to work and about half seemed to have them outside. By 8 or so, they were gone.
So, to answer your question: I assume there are a bunch of couriers or "Field Agent" style gig employees that walk around the downtown and collect them, and that they have an app that shows the last known location of each one. I also assume that there is a van somewhere that picks them up once they're collected, takes them somewhere to charge at night, and then drops them off at hotels and transit stops before the morning rush begins.
[...] charge Birds at your home or office. Earn up to $100/night. $5 per battery, up to 20 birds
You can buy your own on amazon by just searching for "Xiaomi scooter". They're currently $500.
Don't tell me it's just electric scooters!