Palantir worked with Cambridge Analytica on the Facebook data it acquired
cnbc.com
cnbc.com
I took out a bet on Trump when Thiel became open with his support. It was driven by my belief that he was operating with deeper knowledge about the state of the nation precisely due to his association with Palantir (mostly) and Facebook. I feel dirty about winning that one.
Well how many other companies are there with the capabilities of Palantir? If the answer was "none" then he knew for sure the Clinton campaign couldn't match Trump on social media manipulation. Which means he must have been pretty confident
https://qz.com/520652/groundwork-eric-schmidt-startup-workin...
In fact this is true of most anything you do in life - when you drove to work this morning you played the odds and the wager was your life against your salary. I'm sure you didn't think about it that way, but you took the bet
Here it is: https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/high-probability-clinto...
On election night, Fivethirtyeight gave Trump a 29 percent chance of winning the electoral college. Not a 71-29 poll result, a nearly three-in-ten chance of winning. Let that sink in for a second, and reevaluate the media narrative that the pollsters got it wrong.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele...
The current division in the US is urban vs rural, with turnout differences and suburbs deciding elections.
E.g. Carter carries 24 states and Ford carries 27; Carter wins 297-240.
> The current division in the US is urban vs rural
I.e. you have to look at populations of states, not just state counts themselves.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele...
(The election even included a faithless elector, something you don't see every day.)
It was also notable for being the first electoral vote for a ticket with a woman.
Which is to be expected in a two party system.
0: https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/26/politics/ryan-zinke-diversity...
The goal should always be equal opportunity, not equal outcomes.
I think that a white factory worker could add way more insight into how other communities views things, than hiring a black/female attorney does...
Having said that, I'm really afraid what the backlash against this type of diversity-thinking will be. The system will surely corrects itself in the future (it's already starting), but I'm not certain going back to another extreme would be very wise...
> stories such as the Republican appointee to the DoI saying "diversity isn't important" [0] lead some people to conclude that there's effort to cast other goals as more important than diversity.
Diversity being negative, and diversity being unimportant are two different statements.
I assume you mean pretty much all Presidential elections (because otherwise it's not true; lots of elections aren't close, and some electoral districts are so structurally guaranteed to be not close that elections are usually uncontested), but even then polarization does nothing to explain that, but the incentive to seek a winning coalition with minimal compromise on issues in a two-party system does.
Not "our data suggest he may win" but "our data suggest we can help him win".
I have started wondering what could be driving this guy to make what at first seemed like believable allegations, that now seem more and more wild. I have been unable to find any current employer for him. My suspicion is that he is out of work and thought the attention from this would get him hired somewhere, not realizing that nobody - even the most liberal of firms - will hire him because he has proven, in the most public of ways, that he can't be trusted to not disclose confidential information.
According to [1], he is a dyslexic high school dropout with ADHD who sued his elementary school because he was bullied and "...he describes himself as the gay Canadian vegan who somehow ended up creating "Steve Bannon's psychological warfare mindf--k tool." That is certainly a grandiose claim, but there seems to be no evidence that this tool even worked, and in fact there is some evidence to the contrary [2]. It appears that campaigns hired CA not because its data analysis techniques were helpful, but because doing so was a prerequisite for obtaining campaign contributions from the Mercer family [3].
So, we have an out of work programmer with social issues who has no degree and can't be trusted, whose most famous work apparently didn't work at all (according to its customers), and whose biggest asset is that the media will take everything he says as fact. My guess is that Wylie's claims will get even more bizarre as he and his stories quickly disappear from the headlines with no work forthcoming.
[1] http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/christopher-w...
[2] http://www.businessinsider.com/cambridge-analytica-facebook-...
More importantly, some very big players have decided that Wylie is very credible. Channel 4's investigation, which featured Cambridge Analytica's CEO bragging about conducting campaign bribery and blackmail on camera, was based primarily upon his whistleblowing to The Guardian's Carole Cadwalladr. Britain's libel laws are quite strict, so Wylie was extensively vetted before Guardian was confident enough to publish without fear of being sued. And Channel 4 approved the undercover investigation of CA on the basis of Wylie's information. Also, with these kinds of blockbuster investigative reports, the legal department gets involved in vetting whistleblowers.
Based on all this, along with Wylie's testimony to parliament today, as well as his willingness to testify under oath to the US Congress, I'd say his credibility is quite high unless specifically proven otherwise.
I pasted his own quote. That is how he describes himself in the media. That is the only reason I found it relevant - because he found it relevant. In the quote I copied, he also said that he is both Canadian and a vegan, but somehow you didn’t take issue with that. Is it now not PC to copy and paste exact quotes from people? The rules change so often...I can’t keep up.
With regard to the rest of your comment, again, my comment was in response to his Palantir claim. Did he present any evidence of his Palantir claim?
You brought it up in the context of questioning his motives and credibility. By the way, I'm a big admirer of folks like Jonathan Haidt and Jordan Peterson, just to give you an idea of where I'm coming from. I hate PC. But I also can't stand ad hominem attacks, and a very significant part of your comment discussed things that have no bearing on your argument.
> With regard to the rest of your comment, again, my comment was in response to his Palantir claim. Did he present any evidence of his Palantir claim?
There's turned out to be a ton of evidence to back up his Cambridge Analytica claims. And his Palantir claims just came out today. On the basis of those two facts alone, I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt. If he's lying, I'm sure it will come out. But I'm skeptical he's making this all up.
At 3:01 in the hearing, they get into a discussion regarding Wylie pitching the company he was at in January, 2016, to the VoteLeave people (but not being accepted). Wylie was doing something in Canada at the time though.
Had Trump lost, Thiel would have probably diminished his standing with the Clinton administration significantly. But, due to the crowded field, it would have been a small standing to begin with.
And here's the crux: Thiel has held controversial opinions for a while. He probably figured his association with Trump wouldn't really move the dial on his likability much, and he seems to enjoy being contrarian anyway.
So, anyway, there's my theory. Risk asymmetry. A lot to gain in the event of a Trump win, little to lose in the event of a Trump loss.
A Biker/Gang Member may not be attractive to most people, but to the portion of the population that prefer someone like that, they have much fewer anti-social males to choose from, and those individuals can do well at the bar.
Not making a partisan argument, as I don't affiliate with either party, just stating that both sides exhibit support for DoD/IC activities and both were likely to support equal, if not increased, levels of spending on them
https://www.google.com/search?q=clinton+presidency+dod+budge...
And then the massive DoD budget increases under Bush, post 9/11 and Afghanistan/Iraq related which kept a lot of large and medium sized defense contractors riding the gravy train for a very long time.
As best I can remember Obama did not significantly shrink the DoD budget as a whole, though it did drop a bit from the 2006-2007 peak under Bush, though some programs were cancelled.
Given Trump's blatant admiration for authoritarians and authoritarianism, I'm skeptical that Thiel's support had anything to do with libertarianism.
Indeed, given Thiel's founding and constant promotion of Palantir (which feeds at the trough of the military-industrial complex and government contracts), I'm skeptical that he makes many life decisions based on libertarian principles.
It could be that, like many right-wingers or libertarians, he saw in Trump an opportunity to break with the status quo and had the vague impression he'd get the things he wanted, or could manipulate Trump in the right direction.
But has Thiel personally profited in any way from this? He's reviled in Silicon Valley, and the Trump association hasn't obviously brought him anything new.
Have Thiel's ideological priorities been satisfied? He's known for being a hard libertarian, and he supported a man who was openly nativist and who has implemented tariffs. Failure on that score.
Thiel seems like a fairly callous person when it comes to race (as a student, he backed apartheid[1]). Trump may be more aligned with him there.
[1] https://medium.com/indian-thoughts/my-conversation-with-pete...
If Trump lost Thiel would move along to doing the best he could with the winners, who wouldn't have a reason to shun him for irrelevant past actions.
Trump had ~50% odds of winning but general betting odds were <30%
What was the reward?
Machine learning/machine vision just killed a person on a well lit street. You people need to calm down on the thinking that Silicon Valley data scientists have figured out everything others haven't other than how to boost ad dollars (and even that is in dispute as recent articles on Hacker News have pointed out.)
You should not feel bad. You earned your money.
""" Wylie claimed that Cambridge Analytica CEO Alexander Nix was introduced to Palantir by Sophie Schmidt, the daughter of former Google CEO Eric Schmidt. """
so there's the one source we know about.
[1] https://gizmodo.com/just-to-be-clear-i-totally-agree-i-like-...
[2] http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3907562/Joe-Klani-Ma...
As long as the person that helped you get to where you are today is still in "power," you're indebted until he loses his throne.
Hollywood is another example.
some examples: http://www.politifact.com/punditfact/statements/2016/jun/23/...
[I wrote the first sentence before finding the link. I just knew that from previous experience searching people who have been prosecuted for crimes]
s/banking/data
s/monetary system/psychology
Power is the corrupter that turns people against people.
Thiel would tell you it's government, but that's just people with power. We like to focus on the abstraction in those cases; makes it easier to hide the truth.
Let's let a rando billionaire test drugs in uncontrolled experiments. Cause there's no chance some random side-effect could see it mutate into a human killing oopsie.
They're a rando billionaire, and have been emotionally captured by the nonsense notion he's somehow earned special privilege outside the financial and tech business contexts.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computer_Fraud_and_Abuse_Act#C...
[2] https://www.politico.com/story/2018/03/26/cambridge-analytic...
[3] https://www.blumenthal.senate.gov/newsroom/press/release/blu...
Given the Republican's enthusiasm for pursuing Trump pecadillos, nothing will ever come from there.
[1] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cambridge-analytica-state-attor...
It became pretty clear right after Trump won the election (as early as December 2016) during this meeting: https://youtu.be/oX_9yD2lN2g. Trump met with 13 tech company giants and somehow Alex Karp (CEO of Palantir) is at the table. The rest of the executives are from companies with market caps well into the hundreds of billions.
> A spokesperson for Palantir told CNBC the company has never had a relationship with Cambridge Analytica and has never worked on any Cambridge Analytica data. Cambridge Analytica was not immediately available for comment.
Only I think all user data, legally obtained or not, and compare it to nuclear waste.
I doubt that you can remove all social inequality, and it seems throughout history there have always been people who have exerted their wills more in order to accomplish their ends in society. The deep issue that we face is that there is no ingrained morality. Imagine if wealth and power were viewed as a weighty responsibility rather than a privilege--as the holder is responsible for using it to accomplish what they will, the choice of what one does reflects the quality and worth of the person. That's the reality in any case, but imagine if that were universally ingrained as how we, as a society, defined success....
Fake News used to be called Yellow Journalism. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellow_journalism
Fake news is the specific phenomenon observed recently of websites, operated primarily by Romanian citizens, which made up events entirely to drive ad click revenue.
The sites were made to look like they were for legitimate news papers, but there were no actual newspapers with those names in existence.
Soon after the term was coined it was co-opted by president trump to mean all media, leading to the blurring of its meaning.
Fake news is neither journalism nor politically motivated. It’s pure avarice sans morality.
Yellow journalism was still about news and journalism. The root of fake news is hard to even put into words.
It’s people who didn’t care about news, they just a/b tested text and saw what got the most shares and likes.
Then they conned people into believing it was a legitimate source by putting it under a news site like banner.
While I think propaganda is a serious problem, all you need to do is look at the raging debate and issues being raised to see the difference between an open society and a dictatorship. Nobody said democracies and open societies don't have serious problems.
A number of futurists from many decades ago foretold this transition of power from brute physical force to subtle information warfare:
"World War III is a guerrilla information war with no division between military and civilian participation. (p.66)"
-Culture is Our Business, Marshall McLuhan (1970)
"World War I a railway war of centralization and encirclement. World War II a radio war of decentralization concluded by the Bomb. World War III a TV guerrilla war with no divisions between civil and military fronts."
-Take Today: The Executive as Dropout, Marshall McLuhan (1972)
See also:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Wave_(Toffler_book)#...
So all those half-joking "conspiracy theories" about Facebook being a collection tool for three-letter agencies isn't that far off.
I like to think FB is how they check the accuracy of their other data sets.
I don't think tech companies are literally run by three-letter agencies, but after Yahoo and Lavabit (showing two very different reactions to surveillance requests), it's become pretty clear that any large US-based company is at minimum a backup or validation source for surveillance. The standing questions seem to be "do they accept non-warrant surveillance?" and "do they allow bulk surveillance?". If anyone still thinks they don't comply with targeted surveillance, I'd be shocked.
Of course, if you were just getting that information as a matter of course in many arrests and were willing to accumulate it slowly over time it's very possible. I'm preoccupied with scraping issues as that's my only available avenue.
Just like AML rules, where companies processing large amounts of funds have to check the source of the funds to ensure they were obtained legitimately.
(follow the money, etc)
Psychographic profiles/privacy issues aside, to me it's the tension-stoking-Willie-Horton-propaganda tactics that deserve public scorn, if, alas, not prosecution. Unless it was (also) Russia.
Their list of clients seems pretty much aligned with CA's client list.
"Thiel is a well-known supporter of Trump and donated over $1 million to his campaign. He is also on the board of Facebook."
The upside is that Palantir and Mr. Thiel will suffer the same fate as most business associates of Mr. Trump, out of the money and with a permanently tainted reputation to boot.
http://www.businessinsider.com/palantir-wikileaks-apology-20...
Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/27/us/cambridge-analytica-pa...
https://mashable.com/2018/03/22/facebook-peter-thiel-cambrid...
Wouldn't the Tolkien Estate have a copyright on that?
Could I start a newspaper tomorrow called "The Daily Bugle"...(which is where Spiderman works)?
https://www.palantir.net/blog/palantir-philosophy-or-what-s-...
Even if it does, and I'd love to see more details about that (Google translates 'openly' as 'palam'), it's clearly a LotR reference.
Palantir.com doesn't seem to have anything referencing the source of the name.