How does warmer weather explain ticks moving farther south?
A laymen's explanation:
https://qz.com/441583/lyme-disease-is-spreading-faster-than-...
"But our rapidly changing climate also seems to be making it easier for Lyme to spread, by shifting when blacklegged ticks typically feed."
This means it's simply a matter of waiting for the temperature to rise just a bit more for the Lyme disease to be a problem in the USA everywhere there are deer.
There is the difficulty with temperature theory helping the spread the same way in Europe which the article covers, but Lyme disease in Europe is a slightly different bacteria as well.
The National Science Foundation explanation: https://www.nsf.gov/news/special_reports/ecoinf/lyme.jsp