That's the point: I'm pretty sure that somebody will create automated driving technology that's better than humans within the next decade or so. But it won't necessarily be Tesla. If I had to guess I'd say Waymo is likely to get there first. And as I say in the piece, there's good reason to think that Tesla's incremental approach—start with ADAS, evolve into full self-driving—may be an evolutionary dead end because humans are really bad at supervising a driving technology that works 99.99 percent of the time but gets in a fatal crash the other 0.01 percent.