edit: I worked through both the dot-com and mortgage-backed security fraud crises. They were terrible.
edit: I worked through both the dot-com and mortgage-backed security fraud crises. They were terrible.
I don't know exactly what that means, but if it means what I think it does, I've been there. I was at a startup in 2001 and we were getting interest from VCs, to move out of angel funding. The economy was already slowing but then 9/11 happened and there wasn't a VC that was shopping for at least 6 months, all the investment money dried up literally overnight. We barely survived on salary austerity and a RIF.
Now, how do we make money from this?
I’ve made tons of money from the usual FANG suspects in the past few years, but it’s all unrealized gain. No doubt I’ve thought about selling off every year, but chose instead to continue riding it out, always wondering how much it’s going to take for me to be satisfied.
On days like today when FANG stocks are getting beat up, I wonder how much longer this can really go. Every year that passes I take more seriously any sign that suggests these stocks can no longer defy gravity.
Over 40+ years, consider not just a few current strong companies like Apple and MS, but also many others that have gone through many business cycles or perhaps have ended. IBM, Oracle, Sun, DEC, SGI, Cray, HP, Intel, AMD, ATI, NVIDIA, Maxtor, Seagate, Dell, Gateway... Or, consider other baskets to suit your employer basket: IBM, EDS, CA (tech consulting)... PWC, Arthur Andersen (audit/services)... Sears, Montgomery Wards, JC Penney (mail-order/logistics/merchants)...
I think many people make the mistake of "this time it's different" or "I'm different". My cohort saw many people go through the dot-com bubble and it sure seemed random as to which ones won a lottery and which ones got only a t-shirt in the end.
In my view, the only rational strategy would be to continually convert your employer compensation and reinvest into the diversified portfolio you would otherwise consider prudent if you weren't in that particular job. Anything less than that, and you are making an implicit gamble to time the market while perhaps telling yourself it is a tax optimization.