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Nowhere in the article does it say never coming back.

Meanwhile their portfolio company Circle bought Poloniex, a deal that almost certainly wouldn't have happened without some assurances from friends in high places.

This isn't to say it's somehow nefarious. There are many teams/analysts and "it will drop more" is the (reasonable) opinion of one.

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It’s been discussed here before that 9 of 10 venture capital investments fail, and so you should make 10 potential big bets to make up for the losses. So Poloneix could be one of those 9. Why do you assume there are assurances?

Just because it's more likely than not part of their due diligence, and they have the connections to do it. "Hey, before we sign off, call your ex-manager Bob at the SEC and ask Bill from the CFTC at your dinner party tonight if the hammer's coming down on this stuff."

Yes, big dumb bets and Theranos-type due diligence exist, but I'm just saying my own estimation of it. "Assurances" might be too strong a word, maybe more like "not-unfavorable insider reports on regulator sentiment"

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