We need to figure out how to better persuade people to get their kids vaccinated. Perhaps a mix of education targeted at families who claim these exemptions, and fines to represent the negative externality of their choices?
http://freakonomics.com/2013/10/23/what-makes-people-do-what... gives a well-known account of how monetary incentives don't always work, in that case with late fees for parents who are tardy picking up their children from day care.
> The picture that emerged from this experiment, co-authored with Aldo Rustichini, was that parents had a whole set of non-financial incentives for being on time – incentives that were completely incompatible with money. Like, for example, avoiding the guilt of inconveniencing the day care workers. As soon as parents had the option to pay a small fine and avoid that guilt, they took it en masse.
Which is fine, you dont need 100% vaccination rate to get herd immunity. The value of the last people getting a vax is low.
Bear in mind people already pay a price but refusing to get vaccinated in time.
Also, i would be very surprised to find that the solution to "hold-outs" would be forcefully doing it to them, in almost any scenario.
It could get worse.
My example was to point out that your statement "Normally you gotta persuade people or pay them for the inconvenience to get them to do something for you." might be true - "normally" - but is certainly not universal.
My point again is to argue that your statements along the lines "What better way to persuade than to pay for it" is not obviously true. It may also be that mandatory vaccination policies are not a good solution. However, that doesn't make your proposed change any better.
France might be an interesting case: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-00660-y.
> My point again is to argue that your statements along the lines "What better way to persuade than to pay for it" is not obviously true
We'll see when someone tries it.
It has arrested the slide in vaccinations, and in fact increased the vaccination rate by a few percent.
We also have strongly endured that groups like the Australian Vaccination Network are curtailed. They are now called the Australian Vaccination-risks Network, by court order after a statutory body the NSW HCCC pursued them.
You don’t need to make vaccines mandatory, you just need to have consequences for those who refuse; and you need to go after groups who peddle in lies.
https://beta.health.gov.au/file/1126/download?token=nF1qzHkN
A responsbility approach would be a health insurance on third parties.