Wired wrote about the so-called death of Apple back in the 90s. History, it seems, sure did show Wired. In all respect, I have only seen iOS and Droid apps supplement or complement the actual Web apps. Facebook for iPhone hasn't really been a replacement for the Web app.

If anything, nobody likes dealing with the logistics of pushing client-side updates to users, especially with Web-based apps that to deal with multiple versions of REST/SOAP APIs (most hated is graceful degradation for older apps). My App Store icon already shows that 8 apps need updating. Goodness.

So I think the Web is safe. Because then you only need to update the browser, from the user perspective to take advantage of most functionality updates.