I can’t tell if you are being sarcastic or not, so I assume this is a serious comment.
Can you share some examples of use cases where DLT is going to be transformative?
Can you share some examples of use cases where DLT is going to be transformative?
The tampering comes after the fact when a legal issue arises. The immutable nature of the ledger makes it an improvement over the past by preventing later tampering.
If you look at Bitcoin and the Proof of Work mining algorithm that was created to solve its BFT problem, what you have is a globally dispersed group of participants driving the cost of SHA2 hashing to as close to zero as possible. Electricity combined with computers can be converted to Bitcoin, which has value because a group of people believe it has value. You are optimizing everyone to solve that problem, and people are responding naturally to economic incentives.
I believe other problems can be reduced to a Proof of Work distributed problem to drive the cost to zero. LivePeer ( https://livepeer.org/ ) is a recently launched protocol built on Ethereum to drive down the cost of transcoding live video. This is a computationally intensive process full of proprietary technology and patents that forces video streamers to become beholden to centralized third-parties such as YouTube, Twitch, etc. LivePeer solves this problem by incentivizing global participants to commit transcoding resources to an open network, ultimately driving the cost of this to zero. This will reduce censorship and costs.
Beyond computationally intensive work and protocols, I believe that smart contracts will open up a range on novel use cases. For starters, pure digital assets will become a way to fund development of videogames. Free to play games like League of Legends and Fortnite sell in-game assets, but these are not unique - they sell as many copies as people buy. While this works for big players as a business model, I believe new, novel games will come from making game assets provably unique.
These are just a few examples, but many very smart, non-crazy non-scammy people are working in this industry and creating new technologies. It's sad that the fraud has poisoned the conversation so much, especially on tech places like HN.
Then after bitcoin had gone up the marketing guys saw visions of billions in free money and started saying blockchain, blockchain!
I've seen lots of vague "blockchain for supply chains is a great idea" pronouncements but I don't get how it would actually work.
Then as each head of lettuce is picked, it goes into a crate that's securely sealed and then signed with the farmer's private key in a way that originates that crate of produce on the ledger. When the farmer sells their produce to the middleman that transaction is also recorded, and so on, all the way to the end consumer who buys the produce in a grocery store or in a restaurant. (And consumers would just use their phones or credit cards for this, rather than using any sort of external fob.)
Then when the first person gets sick they report their illness as per usual. Nothing happens at this stage, because there's no way to narrow down what made the person sick. By by the time the second person gets sick (with E. coli of the same genetic signature), now you can find the furthest place back in the supply chain where both people's purchases intercept. So you can now see if e.g. the contamination came from a single farm, and if so only recall lettuce from that farm rather than all romaine lettuce produced worldwide.
Because the database is open anyone can download a copy, and there is no risk of a single entity imposing a 30% Apple tax on each head of lettuce or whatever. And each person benefits from participating, because it's a pareto improvement in terms of their profitability. (Now their products only get recalled when they are at fault, rather than their products getting recalled when anyone is at fault.)
Trust scales with something like Metcalfe's Law. E.g. a consortium of ten independent banks is probably 99% less likely to steal my money than just Wells Fargo. The idea that we need millions of independent entities to get substantially better security than the status quo is just propaganda that gets spread by Bitcoin maximalists.
There is a cost of duplication, but at the level of duplication you actually need the cost isn't that much compared to the benefit.
So to apply that, wouldn't we have to somehow register each individual head of lettuce with a tamperproof fingerprint? Just registering the bags the lettuce came in isn't good enough; the "farm" selling you their romaine might actually be selling you romaine from somewhere else that they've repackaged. (If that wasn't the case, we wouldn't be having this lettuce problem to start with.) And this is setting aside the possibility that lettuce might be leaved/shredded before packing and shipping, because now we have to put that tamperproof fingerprint on each and every leaf.
Oh, also there's the thing about all the leaves actually being in contact with one another as they're shipped, so by the time the consumer actually eats the leaf and gets sick, the best you could possibly do is say "we think it's from one of these packagers."
Maybe you're envisioning some other way entirely for Distributed Lettuce Technology* to solve this problem, I dunno. But I have trouble seeing it.
*I'm sorry, but cut me some slack, the joke is RIGHT THERE
Think about it from a game theory perspective. Under the status quo, each party in the supply chain maximizes their profit by lying about where their supplies came from. Whereas with DLT, each party maximizes their profit by being honest about where their supplies came from.
As an example, let's say you hijack you a truck and swap out expensive lettuce for cheap lettuce in a way that circumvents whatever tamper proofing technology has been applied. Stuff like this happens all the time currently, and is wildly profitable. (That's why if you go to a sushi restaurant and get a bunch of assorted sushi pieces or rolls, there is roughly a 0% chance that your meal will actually consist of what you ordered.)
With DLT though this is no longer profitable, because if you sell the cheap lettuce as expensive lettuce then you now have to sell the expensive lettuce as cheap lettuce, because each head or crate or whatever still needs to be traceable back to the source. This means that your total profit from the transaction is just whatever you would have made without cheating, plus your costs of hijacking the truck. So all in all, a substantial net loss.
It allows you to know the source, which enables you to make a data-informed decision about whether or not you trust the source.
As opposed to the current status quo, where you can never even know the source so trust doesn't even come into the picture.
You don't really need a distributed ledger for that,a centralised database run by an industry clearinghouse could serve the purpose just fine.
But maybe there are cases where a distributed ledger is easier or cheaper to establish than such a clearinghouse.