Yeah, I sort of agree. But two things:
1. The article shares a bunch of anecdotes about individual investors receiving their money back, which is surely true, but not necessarily representative of what’s happening overall. 2. Unfortunately it probably wasn’t priced strictly by “odds of recovery” (and also I suspect there was information asymmetry there) but also based on liquidity needs. Large institutions can wait for cash. Retail investors can’t necessarily. Yes, yes time value of money blah blah. Still seems asymmetric.