Armed victim is more trouble for perpetrator so they will find easier prey. Most crimes aren’t specific but are opportunistic. If you’re a crackhead with a gun or whatnot do you stick up the crazy with a gun on their belt? Or wait 5 minutes for an unarmed victim?
This seems like such simple logic that it surprises me that I frequently hear arguments like yours.
I think that a ccw will not help against a hitman. But it sure helps against crackheads.