Former Google exec: AI will replace 40 percent of jobs in 15 years

Person with vaguely relevant credential that probably has a financial stake in whatever they are about to predict:

“thing will definitely happen over the coming period of time”

The book that is being pushed here is: “AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order,”

Seems a little disingenuous to compare an entire country of 1.2b people (China) to a region of a state of a country. Or is it actually more telling about the ambiguous nature of "AI" and who the actual players are (in whatever it actually means, today) and who the wannabes are?

I'm not sure about the % but i think it is a safe bet that at least over the next 20 years a lot of jobs will be replaced by AI. First are your drivers, cab, uber, lyft, truck drivers. Then you have your fast food employees. Then people delivering packages and probably most of the logistics behind that industry too, the list goes on. I'm sure at some point mid level management will also be automated to a large degree, as humans will come to rely on machines increasingly for decision making process.

With 30% probability