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This is an perfect example of a news for the sake of news. The author twice points out that he could be wrong and that they can't really predict at all.

I guess if things do go south, he will be able to use this article to point out that he had predicted it and that he is a economic guru.

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Honestly, all economic reporting should come with a small box showing the author making a bet on his own analysis. At least if he turns out to be wrong, you would know he was honest and really believed it and that he paid a price for his mistake.

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