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But have the fortitude to hold on as value continues to plummet. Predicting a bottom is just as perilous as predicting a top.

Why not short in the meantime?

Go for it! Put your money where your mouth is.

If you're very sure of a time horizon, sure, but holding shorts is costly. If you mispredict by a year, it's going to cost you.

Why not bet your savings on blackjack while you fill your 401k?

aka: buy the dip