[1] http://www.stateforesters.org/sites/default/files/publicatio...
There's a net loss of planting new trees, but then as you say you get stasis.
Why not suggest the whole planet is carbon neutral at that point? It is meaningless because we only care about the carbon in the atmosphere.
In some situations you can get net carbon storage which is how we got fossil fuels in the first place, but this is really slow. On the order of 1 Billionth the total fossil fuels stored per year.
update: found some answer https://www.amentsoc.org/insects/fact-files/respiration.html
I never considered that.
Also, how unlikely that this CO2 is reabsorbed by the plants (granted that can only occur after winter when leaves are back) ?
CO2 + sunlight is again converted into organic material by plants (and some bacteria). It really doesn’t matter if it’s the „same“.
This is the basic carbon cycle.
We have found shells, made of Calcium carbonate, still relatively intact more than 3000 years after the death of the animal. Some shells had last for 500000 years (See Nature 2014-dec-03)
Under the sea there are entire ecosystems based in dead shells.
The way you keep a forest expanding is by logging it.
Is logging carbon negative?
https://cbmjournal.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s13021...
Interestingly, they account for carbon emission from the wood produced by logging ("sawnwood"):
Sawnwood decay is approximated with an exponential decay [with a half-life of] the normal distribution truncated at zero with mean equal to 30 and standard deviation equal to 15, according to IPCC guidelines. So far, no life cycle analysis has yet been done for woody products in the tropics and adapting the framework developed in Europe and North America in tropical countries remains challenging.
So they assume that the average bit of timber lasts thirty years before giving up its carbon, and only about one in six lasts longer than 45 years. I suppose the lifecycle of wooden manufactured items tends to end with them being burnt when they're worn out.
If i am reading the graphs correctly, then wood going to the sawmill is only a small part of the carbon emitted by forestry, and they mention that only one-third of the wood entering a sawmill leaves as sawnwood, the rest being lost as sawdust, so even if you could preserve wooden items for ever, it might not move the needle much.
On the other hand, if you could collect all the sawdust from the mill and bury it, or make it into biochar and then use it as a soil amendment, that might.
Anyway, that is one paper amongst many, go forth and read if you're interested!
That seems like a pretty bizarre set of assumptions. Wood doesn't just disappear in 45 years unless you leave it in the open untreated.
But hey, don't take my word for it - in the paper, that bit references this:
Penman J, Gytarsky M, Hiraishi T, Krug T. Good practice guidance for land use, land-use change and forestry. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), chapter 3, Appendix 3.A.1.3. UNEP; 2003. p. 268–70.
Which you can read here:
https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/gpglulucf/gpglulucf...
https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/gpglulucf/gpglulucf...
So dive into the gory details of harvested wood products, and the basis for their future methodological development to your heart's content!
Makes me wonder just how much polymer use we could replace with wood, and what kind of disposal techniques for it we could develop to increase carbon sequestration (e.g. instead of burning it, bury it deep?).