Cameo raises $50M to deliver personalized messages from celebrities, influencers
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
So, while I'm super skeptical about the C-list celebrity market ($50 for Chris Hansen? Presumably to make a to catch a predator joke?), I think there may be an opportunity here for fans to connect with the long tail of artists and celebrities.
celebrity culture is fascinating, not because i care much about celebrities, but because its value seems on the surface of it both out of proportion and hard to pin down. and our emotional and social systems seem to be subverted somehow in the process.
the entertainment value of a movie, show or concert, and even their cultural value, seems somewhat straightforward, but how do we (over-?)value the entertainer beyond their craft skills? why do people so adore them from a distance, enough for something like cameo to have a valuation in the hundreds of millions?
$20 bucks for a 1 minute personalized clip for a special occasion is pocket change (how many hundreds of dollars do we spend on toys that we know very well are going to end up on the shelf with all the others), and for all but the biggest Youtubers, $20/minute (plus overhead time, etc) is easy money. Plus, 3 years later the kid gets to rewatch the video and laugh at how dumb they were for liking that person!
It's a shame it's no longer an option to invest in startups like you could back during the dotcom boom, although any of the big platforms could probably knock off this technology in a weekend or two.
Personally, I think getting a shout out from a celebrity would be pretty cool.
By far the best purchase was Norm MacDonald which I believe one of the board members paid $150 just to make us laugh.
There’s a real market in novelty with these things.
It’s like gift shop level celebrity stuff with more personalization. But better for social media.
I think the best way for Cameo to actually expand would be to open it up to allow you to book a celeb for more than just a quick little video blurb. Like being able to invite them to parties, or events, and pay them for an actual true "cameo." It would obviously come with a price, but to me, that would be much more innovative.
To me, the open question is if the novelty factor will wear off. I don't think I would ever get the same person a second Cameo. I'm not even sure if I would keep buying Cameos if the service was well-known. A big part of the gag is "How did you pull that off?!" Maybe there are enough birthdays that it just doesn't matter.
Given enough time, assume you’ll be able to run this on a phone eventually.
You can already happily Photoshop a hugely convincing signed celebrity photo, I don't see people who want such things affected by this or feeling the real thing is worth any less. Giving someone a deep fake as a gift or novelty would feel somewhat strange/hollow.
How big really is the market for a celeb sending a custom 10 second video talking about something, and can this entity really control that market? How do they maintain their margins.
Take Social Media for example, it'd seem there doesn't seem to be a massive player that controls how the sponsorship money flows into influencers, and not for a lack of trying.
Or, the prices will rise and Cameo revenue will increase. Each celeb has only so many hours in a day, so there is an upper-bound on the number of Cameo's they can realistically record.
From Crain's Chicago [1]: "On average, customers are paying $62 per video, nearly triple the amount just 12 months ago. Cameo keeps 25 percent."
==Like being able to invite them to parties, or events, and pay them for an actual true "cameo." It would obviously come with a price, but to me, that would be much more innovative.==
Isn't this idea basically the Fyre app? It seems like Cameo took a solid route, it will be interesting to see where this round takes them.
[1] https://www.chicagobusiness.com/john-pletz-technology/cameo-...
This so much. I would never pay for a VIP session with a guitarist I like, but I would pay quite a bit for a couple of actual guitar lessons.
For instance, there are night establishments that have entertainers (singers, mainly) who get requests from the audience to say something, in exchange for money. It gets pretty ridiculous like things that go like "Let those who come from neighborhood X know that we have plenty of money and we made it ages ago... Screw the new rich. Check out my {fancy_car} outside.. Die of jealousy".
These people are considered stupid by almost everyone, however we're talking about serious cash. Alcohol, women, drugs, and egos. Some individuals leave something like $200k on the table on a given night. They want to be remembered as badasses or something.
Then there's the give and take. The entertainer gets paid. Even poor people put in money for their 15 seconds.
Ads are about products, in general. Cameo seems to be about people, and people have egos. This could really turn out to be huge, despite the initial cheesiness.
5 million celebrities???
What does the platform offer the celebrities for the 25% cut? This is a cute gimmick, but how on earth is it worth $300MM? Any value comes from novelty; when everyone is getting a custom message from a "celebrity", how much value is left? Are they betting that this society gets more enamored with influencers and celebrity? God, I hope not.
if being a partner at Kleiner Perkins counts as celebrity, then yes, they should have no trouble finding 5 million.
I just found out that a friend of mine is one of the best players in the world of a certain card game similar to Magic The Gathering(but nowhere near as popular). I knew he played the game and was good at it, but only found out he was 'famous' in the scene when someone came up to our table when were getting lunch to take a selfie with him.
It would be interesting how the founders justify for the novelty aspect when presenting to investors. I will say for a past birthday, I've ordered from c-list celebrities and athletes and its been a hit. But if everyone does it, it won't be nearly as funny.
> Are they betting that this society gets more enamored with influencers and celebrity?
Super sad, but has anything shown much to the contrary?
I don't play myself but have some close friends who do and for the stakes they play at (loser of the league pays for an extravagant steak/lobster dinner with high quality whiskey and wine for all players and a date) then $100 extra to kick off a draft with a laugh and probably a joke at the expense of last years loser is well within bounds of what many people will do for a hobby/joke.
Sure it might be a fad, but network effects are already kickin' and they might just win this market. They might very well be cash flow positive and just not lucrative right now bc focusing on growth/marketing.
Personally, like the first response above, I race in an amateur, local kart league, which is not a cheap sport, and we have a site, instagram, video coverage, everything. The list of F1 & Indy race drivers who could do a video saying "hello" to our league, comparing to what we indulge on a hobby already, is peanuts. I'm sure my friends would take doing a few proposals very seriously.
IMO wannabe YT-IG influencers would FLOCK at the chance of having a celeb saying hello to them and posting on their timelines ("look who just sent hi").
Pay a personality for a second of recognition except as an added bonus you get some reactions in the chat
I think this use case provided a lot more value and depth than a more pedestrian "congratulations on graduating".
We used https://www.celebvm.com/ (an English competitor that doesn't seem to have taken off in the same way) a few years back to get John Challis (Boyce from Only Fools, for the UK readers) to do a message for a relative. Which to be fair was very good and absolutely worth £20.
The relative was delighted - but I think a lot of that was "wow, how did you get him to do that". If Cameo becomes as big as the valuation, I think some of the magic sauce is lost. "Wow, how did you get that?!" becomes "oh, you paid X to get me a video from Cameo."
These platforms could be particularly fruitful for musicians and YouTube stars. It's a fascinating space to watch.
This is interesting; I would think the wow-effect wears off the more celebrity cameos someone receives. Clever way to make money using internet technology and access to celebrities/influencers.
I could see a deepfake shadow business arising whose customers are the celebrities -- now the celebrity can do many more unique Cameos a day
IIRC there was a Google deep AI project or something similar which was able to "match" a human voice.
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/ellievhall/celebrities-...
How is this a sustainable business at the kind of scale needed to 10x a $50M investment?
Especially by KP?
#Bubblesignal
This seems like a revenue generating company from the get-go, unlike something like facebook, so I suspect they already have revenue and it's growing pretty fast. Given America's (and other countries too) fascination with Celebrities, I could see this as a pretty highly valued company.
But in general, it's actually fairly straightforward.
Investors are usually looking to take x% ownership, ballpark in a round, and they are all looking for at least a 10x return.
Technicalities of deals vary, but in the end, a 'round' of investors may get 10-30% and they have big expectations for returns, otherwise it's not worth it.
Given the paths to liquidity are IPO or 'get acquired', I'm hard pressed to see the logic on this one. How many pure media companies have done major IPO's based on hard, forecastable metrics lately? And what kind of 'big pockets' company would be interested in making a $500M-$1B acquisition of such a thing? Disney? I don't think so really.
I can certainly see the founders making some kind of 'big story' about what they are going to do, but the essentials of what they are doing is not great. I don't see how the experience will be protected, I don't see a lot of competitive advantage, I don't see how they get to the kinds of sales required for those massive valuations, and of course this has a lot of 'fad risk'.