This means that if the path between two points is not simple (around a corner) the probability drops off very quickly. If the time between measurements is in minutes, this heuristic is pretty useless (and you should really use log-scale for your numbers!)
edit: this is actually shown in figure 8 of the paper where they explore different 'sampling periods'
edit 2: I have not explored other methods yet, but it would probably make sense to start by deriving the formula the way they do, by exploring ground-truth data.
edit 3: I just noticed that my comments are largely repeating what you're saying - sorry!