It depends what you call Moore's Law. For me, Moore's Law was essentially that the cost per transistor was divided by two every 18 month. Nowadays, it's not true anymore. But of course, it doesn't mean that progress has stopped.
> [..] divided by two every 18 months [..]
Wikipedia wrote:
> [..] whose 1965 paper described a doubling every year in the number of components per integrated circuit [..]
Godfrey Cheng, Head of Global Marketing, TSMC wrote:
> [..] The number of transistors in an integrated device or chip doubles about every 2 years. [..]
(Even if we ignore the difference on the cost versus number of transistors or components.)
12 months, 18 months, 24 months. How long is it? I have no clue with regards to the answer. It seems to me we first need to agree on the definition of a law before we can discuss it.
From https://www.cnet.com/news/moores-law-to-roll-on-for-another-... (a source for the the Wikipedia page).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transistor_count
2019 - Epyc ROME: 32B transistors 2009 - Six-core Opteron 2400 - 0.9B transistors
(32/0.9)^(1/5) = 2.04, so it seems that Moore's law is actually working well.
If it was once 100 years it was also still exponential.