Actual think-tank paper: https://www.ussc.edu.au/analysis/averting-crisis-american-st...

After skimming I'm not too impressed with this. It makes a lot of sweeping assumptions, some totally inaccurate, about our readiness in the area and seems to disapprove of them not being at peak war-time levels. More alarmist than anything.

I might be biased since I served in Okinawa for a few years.