What kind of scientific literacy would make this obvious? They need a better presentation.
Its all one color...
You have to real about halfway through the fine print to learn:
Historical data indicate that the entire 5-day path of the center of the tropical cyclone will remain within the cone about 60-70% of the time.
It does not say the distribution is Gaussian, and I suspect it’s actually much longer-railed than a Gaussian would be.