So, what am I missing here? How on Earth was this a good idea?
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[0] - a polish one, https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/22310339-wiat-na-rozdro-....
So, what am I missing here? How on Earth was this a good idea?
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[0] - a polish one, https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/22310339-wiat-na-rozdro-....
On whose time horizon?
If yours is "the next five years", it probably looked pretty good for a solid thirty years or so.
The countries in question are authoritarian specifically because of the single dominant source of income (the oil exports). A specialized economy that relies on foreign sales is pretty easy to put under governmental control - and the arrangement is also convenient for the buyer. For non-authoritarian setup, you want diversified economy that's largely self-sufficient and trade-balanced; in such economy the government is mostly just an arbiter between roughly equal businesses and consumers.
>outsourcing manufacturing to China and them using the money to buy Western companies and real estate
The single biggest failure of the several recent US administrations: allowing the Chinese supply chain to become dominant; even "too big to fail". So big that there's a persistent narrative "we can't tariff chinese imports because it would hit the US consumers hard.". It is indeed similar to how the problem of oil imports used to be[1].
There's no fixing it other than slowly but surely shifting the bulk of imports away from China and towards multiple alternative sources[2]. Once there are several major sources of import competing[3], putting a tariff or two on China won't move the prices all that much, thus making the tariffs a practical tool of trade negotiations again.
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[1] big props up to both Obama and Trump for helping domestic US oil extraction expand & provide a counterbalance to the foreign exports
[2] India is a particularly good candidate for a major trading partner, with compatible culture, existing economic ties, and already growing industry
[3] diversity