Ask HN: How fast do you think EV's will be adopted?

The use of electric automobiles is increasing, but there is a lot of disagreement about how fast it is going to happen in the future.

At one end are people who think there is a tipping point coming pretty soon, and by 2030 EV's will be the majority produced. At the other end are those who think adoption is going to be very slow, and in 2030 ICE's will still be the great majority produced, and that will continue for many decades. And there are various views in between.

So what is your prediction as to what proportion of autos produced in 2030 will be EV's? And what is your reasoning?