great points

> If your goal is to build a profitable business not focused on exponential growth or VC-sized returns, then luck plays a smaller role.

a bit of background. I started Android development at 12 and published a few apps on the app stores. Tasted the fun of building one's own business and earning money by myself. I have always dreamed of building the next big thing.

I think now I'm slowly realising that building the next big thing is really difficult. It might not even be something I'm aiming for any more now that have better insights on the workings of exponential growth. The stress and luck involved reminded me of this college situation I'm in.

> I recommend reading "Fooled By Randomess"

gonna give this a read. thanks!