A TOM needs to explain "mental life", at best the CTOM provides a model of a very narrow sort of cognition (inference over propositions).
There's a gigantic (and in my view, deeply implausible) leap from "hey this kinda works for modelling inference in animals" to "hey this is how The Mind! works".
Not only do all CTOM models fail for actual inference in animals where we can be reasonably sure inference is taking place (due to the frame problem), it clearly fails for non-inferential processes and states (eg., emotions/environmental-action/...).
These non-inferential processes are regarded by CTOMists as "black boxes" that just "plug into" the "Real Mind" (ie., inference over propositions).
I dont think Fodor's argument holds here: it is tantamount to saying, "hey we've explained light with waves, why dont we just explain everything with waves!" -- the cost to that approach should be obvious.
The problem this field has is that its being lead by computer scientists not neurobiologists. You ask a computer scientist what the right model of anything is, and they'd reply with a logic.
We do not, however, model causal reality with logic. Temperature isnt computed from a 'logic of molecule motion', it is done via a causal model which relates causal variables to one another.