Again, no reliable primary sources. Twitter? Seriously?
So what primary source would you recommend?
Now, I am no expert. But when experts in field are indirectly, in the case of China, and directly verify numbers, and these numbers do make sense based on models and expectations, I go with the experts.
And by all respect, these experts are not on Twitter and YouTube. Because all these. Numbers on YouTube and Twitter, all these videos, are impossible to confirm. Impossible to put them in the proper context, location and time vise. And impossible to verify. Add to that the stress and fear of people on the ground producing these videos, and the ignorance of Youtubers not being on the ground, and you get an unreliable, uninformed mess.