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Comment by asdfasgasdgasdg | Hacker News Reader

Presumably that? I think the author is just saying that it's going to get better.

He is not privy to what his competitors have been working on, in any case, except whatever has been announced publicly. (Unless he is doing industrial espionage.) Maybe it's just that Voyage's cars weren't predicting up until now?

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I would be careful in assuming competence in such a new dev area. Think: rules vs predicting vs rise in false positives

Heard of control systems waiting for seconds before acting on new information? So don't assume flawless, perfect technology.

I don't think there's any implication that the technology is perfect in my comment. But the idea that e.g. Waymo's software is not making some attempt at predicting future states, even implicitly, is absurd. This video[1] was released two years ago and references prediction at the provided timestamp.

[1]: https://youtu.be/B8R148hFxPw?t=77

We've been working on the prediction problem for some time. We should have a blog post coming out about our approach (it's pretty neat and in-line with this post) soon.

That's great to hear! I think upon fully reading the blog post it's clear that you meant the next leap forward it solving prediction, to the degree that perception has supposedly been solved. It will be interesting to see how y'all do. I for one want my self driving car yesterday.

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