Coronavirus (Covid-19) Overview for Startup Founders
blog.eladgil.com
blog.eladgil.com
Probably the single most important "prediction" based on past epidemics (e.g. 1919 Spanish Flu, HN1 in UK in 2009) is his point 5: Expect A Second Wave
"In many epidemics disease course follows two waves. In wave one, an initial infection happens followed by governments tightening movements, shutting schools, and in general decreasing the spread of the diseases. Controls are eventually relaxed (people need to work, kids need to go to school etc.) and then a few months later a second wave of the disease hits and infects a subset of the people who were not infected in the first wave. Eventually, enough people get sick, develop antibodies, and there is a strong enough herd immunity in the population to decrease future out breaks in size."
I think this is the most likely near term prognosis for China as it relaxes it's "non-pharmacological measures" that have discouraged spread.
Many larger company boards have already discussed this, but many startups have small or no boards to bring this up (hence the email I originally sent which turned into this post when founders suggested I publish more broadly)
I doubt Covis-19 will last so long, but probably there's a case for disease spread related apps. Maybe an app that can recommend vaccinations combined with a knowledge base of Do's and Dont's. As already pointed out on HN, it's also amazing how bad all the data is presented...
That’s me... I sure wish my prototype/demo was farther along. It looks nice but is pretty feature lite